Paid To Wait For PNG Activity to Pick Up

High Arctic continues to offer a deep value opportunity for small cap investors.

| More on:
The Motley Fool

Last week, small cap energy service company High Arctic Energy Service (TSX:HWO) announced that it is increasing the monthly dividend from $0.01 to $0.0125, a 25% increase.

The increase takes the annual payment to $0.15 from $0.12 and brings the yield on the stock to 6.2%.  With net cash of $13.6 million and 2012 free cash flow of $15 million, the annual cash requirement of $7.5 million to fund the dividend appears more than affordable.

Expect a pause

High Arctic was profiled here in early February and continues to offer solid long-term prospects, particularly for the bargain basement valuation affixed to the shares (P/E ratio of 4).

However, in the recently released quarterly results, management indicated that growth will be a struggle in 2013.

Low natural gas prices and crude oil transport bottlenecks are having a negative impact on the Western Canadian Sedimentary Basin (WCSB) and causing a slowdown for the company’s Canadian operations.

In addition, we can expect a temporary plateau in the company’s Papua New Guinea operations, which continue to offer compelling upside over the long-term.  The company’s primary client, Oil Search Limited, is temporarily diverting financial resources towards completing an LNG facility in PNG and away from drilling.  This dynamic should reverse once the LNG facility is complete.  The project is on track for completion at the end of 2014.

No need to panic

Though subdued near-term drilling in PNG is expected, the company continues to expect growth from its equipment rental platform that it has established in the country.  And, the eventual completion of the LNG export facility bodes well for activity levels in this highly undeveloped resource base.

Another consideration that was mentioned in the quarterly release was that the company is negotiating with Oil Search to extend the current service contract that expires at the end of 2013.  A new contract will relieve one of the more significant risks involved with this story.

Solid prognosis

Given the stock’s current valuation, a slowdown in Canadian activity and a pause in PNG is priced in.  If the company can keep printing results like the ones achieved in 2012, the multiple on this name will expand.  Earnings growth is not required for a stock price to go up when it trades at a multiple of 4.  Assuming nothing breaks in either the Canadian or PNG operations, a worst case scenario for this name is an affordable 6.2% yield as you wait for multiple expansion and earnings growth to take hold.

Follow us on Twitter and Facebook for the latest in Foolish investing.

Fool contributor Iain Butler does not own shares in any of the companies mentioned in this report at this time.  The Motley Fool has no positions in the stocks mentioned above.

More on Investing

Pile of Canadian dollar bills in various denominations
Top TSX Stocks

2 TSX Stocks Under $50 With Serious Upside Potential

Some of the best TSX stocks trade under $50 and offer long-term growth potential. Here are two for investors to…

Read more »

dividends can compound over time
Dividend Stocks

4 Secrets of TFSA Millionaires

Discover four proven habits TFSA millionaires use to build wealth, including dividend compounding with stocks like Fortis, Royal Bank, and…

Read more »

A person's hand cupped open with a hologram of an AI chatbot above saying Hi, can I help you
Tech Stocks

A Once-in-a-Decade Investment Opportunity: The Best Artificial Intelligence (AI) Stock to Buy in March 2026

Nebius is building the AI cloud for the next decade. Here's why this under-the-radar stock could be the best AI…

Read more »

tsx today
Stock Market

TSX Today: What to Watch for in Stocks on Monday, March 16

A third straight selloff pushed the TSX to a four-week low, with today’s direction tied to geopolitical headlines, crude oil…

Read more »

hand stacking money coins
Dividend Stocks

Another Month, Another Payout — This Stock Yields 6%

Income-seeking investors can rely on this monthly payer as a simple way to earn steady returns, and this stock yields…

Read more »

rising arrow with flames
Investing

2 Canadian Growth Stocks Set to Skyrocket in the Next 12 Months

Given their solid underlying business models and healthy growth prospects, these two growth stocks offer attractive buying opportunities, despite the…

Read more »

Investing

2 Canadian Stocks to Buy and Hold for the Next 5 Years

These two Canadian stocks are compelling choices to buy and hold for the next five years supported by solid business…

Read more »

ETF stands for Exchange Traded Fund
Dividend Stocks

3 Canadian ETFs I’d Snap Up Right Now for My TFSA

These three high-quality Canadian ETFs are perfect for TFSAs, offering instant diversification to top stocks from around the world.

Read more »