Temporary Setback or Down for the Count? Picking Through Some Second Half Losers

3 companies. 3 sharp declines. Which is best positioned for a bounce back?

| More on:
The Motley Fool

As a follow on of sorts to yesterday’s post that pertained to company’s trading near their 52-week lows, today we’re going to dig through a few big decliners on the TSX since the second half of the year began.  3 of the biggest losers are profiled below:

Niko Resources (TSX:NKO)

Niko’s shares have been on a wild ride, mostly to the downside, for much of 2013.  Since the second half began, the stock has declined by 33% as of yesterday’s close.  Niko is an oil and gas producer and has assets in such far flung places as India, Bangladesh, Trinidad and Tobago, Indonesia, Madagascar, and Pakistan.  A geographically diverse approach to be sure but a quick look at the company’s financials gives an indication why the shares have been under pressure.  The company has not been profitable of late, faces a rapidly declining cash balance, issued equity to pay down debt, ended its dividend, and has a dubious history of generating free cash.  Though RBC indicates that several of Niko’s properties contain significant potential, given the financial condition of the firm, this appears to be one high risk, high reward situation.

Westport Innovations (TSX:WPT,NASDAQ:WPRT)

Westport shares are down by 18% since second half trading kicked off, with the bulk of the decline occurring after quarterly results were released at the beginning of August.  One quarter is meaningless in the grand scheme of things for Westport as this remains a company that is firmly rooted in the future.  With its leading position in the move towards natural gas fired engines, Westport is well positioned to be a big winner as this technology takes hold.  However, like Niko, Westport is walking a fine line when it comes to its financial position.  The company’s cash stockpile is dwindling as it’s spending far more than it’s taking in – a relationship that can only last so long.  Though financing options (debt or equity) are probably available, at what cost will they come to the company’s current shareholders?  There appears to be a pot of gold at the end of Westport’s rainbow, however because of the financial risk, the journey to reach that destination is a potentially treacherous one.

Canexus Corporation (TSX:CUS)

Canexus produces chemicals that are used in a variety of industries.  Pulp and paper is the primary target, but oil and gas, and water treatment are other destinations for the company’s products.  There are some interesting assets within Canexus’ portfolio, and an attractive 7.4% yield helps to make this one worth a look.  Not only are the company’s legacy assets somewhat appealing, Canexus is also in the process of building out a hydrocarbon transloading service (think train by rail) in Western Canada.  If oil-by-train does what many think it will do in the coming years, this investment could prove to be a real boondoggle for Canexus.  The issue that has weighed on the shares seems to be weak pricing for one of its chemical products.  These markets however are cyclical and while pricing may be down now, there’s no indication it will stay that way forever.

The Foolish Bottom Line

Where Niko and Westport are facing financial pressures and require a completely uncertain future to be kind to them, Canexus faces a situation that it’s been through before.  It operates in a cyclical business and the cycle is currently working against it.  This will shift, as it has many times before, at which time, Canexus shares are likely to recover.

More expert advice

Looking for more stock ideas?  Click here now to download our special FREE report “3 US Stocks That Every Canadian Should Own”.

The Motley Fool’s purpose is to help the world invest, better. Click here now for your free subscription to Take Stock, The Motley Fool Canada’s free investing newsletter. Packed with stock ideas and investing advice, it is essential reading for anyone looking to build and grow their wealth in the years ahead.

Follow us on Twitter and Facebook for the latest in Foolish investing.

Fool contributor Iain Butler does not own shares of any of the companies mentioned at this time.  The Motley Fool owns shares of Westport Innovations. 

More on Investing

tsx today
Stock Market

TSX Today: What to Watch for in Stocks on Monday, March 2

After inflation concerns halted its rally, the TSX now faces a volatile open as crude oil soars on escalating global…

Read more »

dividend growth for passive income
Dividend Stocks

3 Dividend Stocks That Are Growth Plays, Too

Finding top-tier dividend stocks that provide more than just their yield (also long-term upside) isn't easy. But these three stocks…

Read more »

Printing canadian dollar bills on a print machine
Dividend Stocks

Transform Your TFSA Into a Money-Making Machine With Just $10,000

Here's how you can use your TFSA to build real wealth and two top dividend growth stocks that are ideal…

Read more »

man touches brain to show a good idea
Investing

Haters Gonna Hate, and Smart Investors Gonna Buy

For investors looking for the most overlooked and undervalued (and most hated) stocks in the market, here are two ideas…

Read more »

Yellow caution tape attached to traffic cone
Dividend Stocks

Why Chasing High Yields Is the Fastest Way to Lose Money

Here's why high-yield dividend stocks come with so much risk, and how to ensure the stocks you're buying are safe…

Read more »

A glass jar resting on its side with Canadian banknotes and change inside.
Retirement

The TFSA Balance You’ll Probably Need to Retire in Canada

Retirement in Canada may come down to hitting a big TFSA target, and XEQT is pitched as a simple way…

Read more »

stocks climbing green bull market
Investing

2 Growth Stocks Set Up for Massive Gains in 2026+

These Canadian stocks will likely benefit from strong demand and solid execution, enabling them to deliver massive gains in 2026.

Read more »

dividend stocks are a good way to earn passive income
Dividend Stocks

1 Dynamic Dividend Stock Down 19% to Buy Now and Hold for Decades

This stock might have finally found a bottom.

Read more »