3 Reasons Loblaw Shares Could Go Higher

This Fool thinks all signs are pointing up for this recovering grocer.

| More on:
The Motley Fool

By:  Chris Lau

After several years of lacklustre performance, Loblaw (TSX:L) stock has had a terrific year.

To help right the ship and inject some life into its stock, Loblaw made two primary moves.  First, the company monetized its huge real estate portfolio.  Second, it bought Shoppers Drug Mart (TSX:SC).

While it’s up on the year, Loblaw has the potential to do much more for investors.  Here are three items that point towards more upside for Loblaw owners.

1.    Earnings growth

Loblaw demonstrated sizeable year-over-year improvements in both earnings per share (EPS) and EBITDA margin in the most recent quarter.  EPS grew from $0.55 in Q2/12 to $0.63 in Q2/13, a 14.5% increase.  In addition, the EBITDA margin expanded to 6.8% from 6.3% in this year’s second quarter.

Improved profitability came down to two basic items.  Improved revenue and better cost control.  Loblaw shares will benefit should these trends continue.

2.    REIT IPO

Loblaw announced an IPO for Choice Properties REIT to help unlock the value of its real estate assets. Loblaw has nearly $7B worth of properties and related assets. The IPO has provided Loblaw owners with $460M in cash, and still left them with a majority ownership of the REIT at 81.7%.

Not only will Loblaw potentially benefit from the re-deployment of the cash, but also from the public valuation that is now ascribed to this publicly traded REIT vehicle.

3.    Shoppers Takeover

Galen Weston, the Executive Chairman, said in the quarterly report:

Combining Loblaw and Shoppers Drug Mart will build on the strong base Vicente and his team have developed over the last two years, providing an excellent strategic complement to our existing assets, and setting the stage for further shareholder value creation.

It is reasonable to believe the market has underestimated the benefit of buying Shoppers.  There are obvious cross-over opportunities between the two operations with front of store food sales at one, and a beefed up pharmacy at the other.  Combined, the two have the potential to create something the Canadian market has never seen before, and that should be a good thing for long-term shareholders.

Foolish Bottom Line

Loblaw shares are on the mend, owed greatly to solid operational management and some savvy corporate actions.  If the company continues with its improved grocery operations, as well as successfully integrates the Shoppers deal, Loblaw shareholders, and the Weston family, are in for some happy times.

Another idea….

Like Loblaw, but looking for a small-cap idea instead?  The Motley Fool Canada’s senior investment analyst has identified his “Top Canadian Small Cap for 2013 — and Beyond” in a new research report. You can instantly access the report — and see the ticker — by simply clicking here now.

The Motley Fool’s purpose is to help the world invest, better. Click here now for your free subscription to Take Stock, The Motley Fool Canada’s free investing newsletter. Packed with stock ideas and investing advice, it is essential reading for anyone looking to build and grow their wealth in the years ahead.

Disclosure: Chris Lau has no positions in any of the stocks mentioned in this article.

This article represents the opinion of the writer, who may disagree with the “official” recommendation position of a Motley Fool premium service or advisor. We’re Motley! Questioning an investing thesis — even one of our own — helps us all think critically about investing and make decisions that help us become smarter, happier, and richer, so we sometimes publish articles that may not be in line with recommendations, rankings or other content.

More on Investing

hand stacks coins
Dividend Stocks

Canada’s Smart Money Is Piling Into This TSX Leader

An expanding and still growing industry giant is a smart choice for Canadian investors in 2025.

Read more »

Oil industry worker works in oilfield
Energy Stocks

Energy Sector Strength: A Canadian Producer That Can Thrive in Any Market

While gold stocks are the norm, relatively few Canadian energy stocks operate primarily outside the country. The ones that do…

Read more »

how to save money
Stocks for Beginners

Canada’s Biggest Winners in 2025? My Money’s on These 2 TSX Stocks

Here’s why I’m betting on these TSX stocks to be among Canada’s biggest winners in 2025.

Read more »

ways to boost income
Investing

Where to Invest Your 2025 TFSA Money for Total Returns

These TSX stocks offer high growth and steady dividend income, making them top bets to generate solid total returns.

Read more »

TFSA (Tax-Free Savings Account) on wooden blocks and Canadian one hundred dollar bills.
Dividend Stocks

TFSA Contribution Limit Stays at $7,000 for 2025: What to Buy?

This TFSA strategy can boost yield and reduce risk.

Read more »

calculate and analyze stock
Investing

3 No-Brainer TSX Stocks Under $50

These under-$50 TSX stocks have solid growth potential and can deliver significant returns over time, beating the benchmark index.

Read more »

Make a choice, path to success, sign
Dividend Stocks

Already a TFSA Millionaire? Watch Out for These CRA Traps

TFSA millionaires are mindful of CRA traps to avoid paying unnecessary taxes and penalties.

Read more »

A plant grows from coins.
Stocks for Beginners

1 Canadian Stock Ready to Surge In 2025

First Quantum stock is one Canadian stock investors should seriously consider going into 2025, and hold on for life!

Read more »