The Shocking Truth About the Gold Mining Industry

How to buy gold and silver at 50%, 75%, even 90% off the market price.

| More on:
The Motley Fool

In early 1848, a man named Samuel Brannan opened a small store at Sutter’s Fort, California. When gold was discovered in the nearby mountains, Brannan traveled back to San Francisco and proceeded to tell the crowds he encountered, “Gold! Gold on the American River!” By the end of that year almost every man had left town to pan for gold near Sutter’s Fort.

Most of those miners never made their fortune and returned home poor and discouraged. But by selling shovels, picks and supplies to miners, Samuel Brannan became California’s first millionaire.

The same principle applies today. In spite of soaring precious metal prices over the past decade, the mining industry has posted billions in losses. It’s not the prospectors and the miners who make a fortune in a resource boom, but the bankers and the merchants.

The truth about the mining business

You probably won’t hear this from any resource analyst and certainly not from any Vancouver power broker, but mining is a terrible business.

Finding, building, and operating a mine is tough. You can run into environmental disasters, labour unions, and government regulations. Once you find the gold, you then must dig it out and shift through tonnes of muck just to process a few ounces.

And you’re not done yet! Once the gold is out of the ground you have to grade it, transport it, and refine it. And you can be sure every middleman, government, and landowner wants their cut of the action. When you own a gold miner, especially the smaller names, you’re crossing your fingers and hoping they can find and produce gold at a profit.

The numbers are abysmal. Last year Canada’s top five gold miners wrote off a combined $18.8 billion in assets. And if you were to consolidate every junior firm in the world into a single company, that entity would lose $2 billion in a good year.

Of course, you can make great money if a gold miner hits it big. But it’s the one-off gold strikes that keep this whole game going. Generally speaking, investors would be better off skipping over the industry entirely except in unusual circumstances.

How to invest in the bankers of the gold mining industry

Like the California gold rush, the true fortunes were made by the people who supplied and financed the resource boom. That’s why the smartest investors stick to different types of businesses — metal royalty and streaming companies.

These firms are the bankers of the resources industry. In exchange for a large, upfront payment, miners will agree to sell a portion of their metal production at steep discounts to a streaming company. In some cases, these streamers can buy gold and silver at 50%, 75%, even 90% discounts to prevailing market prices.

This is a much better model than traditional mining operations. Royalty and streaming metal companies don’t have to worry about fluctuating production costs. This avoids the typical risks associated with operating a gold mine and gives investors low-risk exposure to commodity prices.

Best of all, royalty companies are not subject to cash calls to fund exploration. And because they do not provide operational or mine development management, these firms can assemble a large and diversified portfolio without significant corporate overhead.

Thanks to this superior approach, royalty and streaming metal companies have outperformed their mining counterparts. Over the past five year, an equally weighted basket of the three largest firms doubled in value. This handily beat the Market Vectors Gold Miners Index, which fell 30% over the same period.

Company (Ticker)

Market Cap ($billions)

5-Year Return

Yield

Franco-Nevada (TSX: FNV)(NYSE: FNV)

$7.77

109.48%

1.68%

Royal Gold (TSX: RGL)(Nasdaq: RGLD)

$4.74

37.21%

1.26%

Silver Wheaton (TSX: SLW)(NYSE: SLW)

$8.95

153.59%

1.23%

Source: Google Finance

There has never been a better time to add streaming metal companies to your portfolio. As a result of weak precious metal prices, hundreds of junior gold miners are struggling to generate enough cash to keep the lights on. And with their share prices down the tubes, many venture companies can no longer tap the equity market to raise cash. This has allowed streaming metal players to sweep in and buy up assets at fire-sale prices.

Late last year Franco-Nevada purchased a 2.5% royalty on Kirkland Lake Gold’s properties in exchange for $50 million. Kirkland owns some of the best gold properties in Ontario. However, with little cash and a depressed equity value, the company couldn’t finance construction and had to bring in a partner like Franco.

Even the larger, better capitalized names are turning to streamers for financing. Last year, Silver Wheaton announced a U.S. $1.9-billion acquisition of gold streams from Brazilian mining giant Vale. The fact that an enormous company like Vale is giving up future cash flow to secure capital shows how challenging industry conditions are right now.

Foolish bottom line

Not much has changed since the California gold rush. The prospectors and miners continue to go broke in their search for resource riches. Yet the merchants and the bankers crank out profits year after year. That’s why royalty and streaming metal companies like Franco-Nevada and Silver Wheaton are superior choices for precious metal investors.

This article represents the opinion of the writer, who may disagree with the “official” recommendation position of a Motley Fool premium service or advisor. We’re Motley! Questioning an investing thesis — even one of our own — helps us all think critically about investing and make decisions that help us become smarter, happier, and richer, so we sometimes publish articles that may not be in line with recommendations, rankings or other content.

More on Investing

think thought consider
Tech Stocks

Is CGI Stock a Buy Even With No Dividend Yield?

CGI stock may not have a dividend to speak of. But does that necessarily mean you should ignore this top…

Read more »

A robotic hand interacting with a visual AI touchscreen display.
Tech Stocks

Why Now Is the Time to Invest in Canadian AI Stocks

Are you looking for one of the most solid Canadian AI stocks out there? This one is probably your best…

Read more »

The letters AI glowing on a circuit board processor.
Tech Stocks

Why AI Stocks Should Be in Every Canadian Investor’s Portfolio

AI stocks continue to be one of the best options out there for long-term investing, especially when considering Canadian options.

Read more »

stock research, analyze data
Bank Stocks

Canadian Bank Stocks: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

There are opportunities and risks on the horizon for the Canadian banks.

Read more »

Young Boy with Jet Pack Dreams of Flying
Stock Market

Is Air Canada Stock a Good Buy After Its Q3 Results

Down almost 60% from all-time highs, Air Canada is an undervalued TSX stock that remains an enticing investment in November…

Read more »

cloud computing
Investing

Where to Invest $10,000 in November

Given their solid underlying businesses and healthy growth prospects, I expect these two defensive stocks to outperform uncertain outlook.

Read more »

coins jump into piggy bank
Retirement

Here’s the Average RRSP Balance at Age 44 for Canadians

Holding stocks like Alimentation Couche-Tard (TSX:ATD) in an RRSP is a good way to build your wealth.

Read more »

dividends can compound over time
Dividend Stocks

Want a 7% Yield? The 3 TSX Stocks to Buy Today

These TSX stocks are offering high yields of over 7%, making them attractive for investors seeking steady passive income.

Read more »