The Real Reason Why Loblaw Companies Ltd. Shares Could Get Crushed

Regulators might finally crack down on Loblaw Companies Ltd. (TSX:L) and Empire Company Limited (TSX:EMP.A). That could cause a lot of pain.

| More on:
The Motley Fool

Canadian newspapers love talking about the “grocery wars”, in which companies like Loblaw Companies Ltd. (TSX: L) and Empire Company Limited (TSX: EMP.A) are supposedly cutting prices at will. As the story goes, they are competing for customers so fiercely that profitability is getting crushed.

Fortunately for shareholders, these stories are greatly exaggerated. While there is some price competition, the industry is still dominated by just a few small players, each of whom knows how to act rationally. And certain initiatives by these retailers are helping to protect margin. For example, grocers are selling more prepared foods, which come with much higher price points.

Loblaw itself provides a perfect example. Its recent acquisition of Shoppers Drug Mart helps tighten its grip on the market, and the company just reported Q3 earnings of $0.90 per share, a 23% increase over last year.

But there’s another headwind which should seriously concern Loblaw and its shareholders.

Abusive practices

Here’s a good rule of thumb: if you want to enjoy your life, don’t sell anything to Loblaw. The company is known to treat its suppliers very poorly, even worse than a company like Walmart. Some of its more abusive practices were highlighted when it bought Shoppers. And others have come to light more recently.

For example, Loblaw has routinely asked suppliers to help pay for store improvements. The company also demanded that suppliers not increase prices during 2013, citing its adoption of a new SAP system. If a supplier refuses, it could risk losing significant shelf space. Empire has also employed some dirty tricks. After acquiring Safeway’s Canadian stores, it demanded retroactive price cuts from suppliers.

Here come the regulators

Response from the regulators has been painfully slow. But more recently, the Competition Bureau is intensifying its efforts, even demanding that some suppliers hand over confidential records. The regulator is looking for “restrictive trade practices.”

Suppliers are pressuring the regulator to introduce a “code of conduct”. There is already a code in place in the United Kingdom, and it restricts some of the practices that Loblaw and Sobeys currently employ.

For example, UK grocery retailers “must not vary any supply agreement retrospectively, and must not request or require that a supplier consent to retrospective variations of any supply agreement.” They also cannot “require a supplier to make any payment towards that retailer’s costs of the opening or refurbishing of a store.”

So what effect will this have?

Shareholders of Loblaw and Empire should be nervous. The leading grocers in the UK have been struggling, thanks to the emergence of hard-line discounters. And if similar regulations were adopted in Canada, then smaller grocers could compete more effectively too. Your best bet is to stay away from the grocery stocks.

Fool contributor Benjamin Sinclair has no position in any stocks mentioned.

More on Investing

pregnant mother juggles work and childcare
Dividend Stocks

2 Dividend Stocks to Hold for the Next 20 Years

These two reliable dividend stocks to hold for can provide stability, income, and growth for investors building a 20-year portfolio.

Read more »

Blocks conceptualizing Canada's Tax Free Savings Account
Energy Stocks

How to Earn an Average of $386 Every Month Tax-Free With Your TFSA

This popular TFSA strategy can generate solid returns while balancing risk.

Read more »

fast shopping cart in grocery store
Dividend Stocks

The Best Canadian Stocks to Buy and Hold Forever in a TFSA

These two Canadian stocks could be perfect long-term TFSA picks for steady and reliable wealth building.

Read more »

stock chart
Stocks for Beginners

The Top Canadian Stocks to Buy Right Away With $40,000

Learn why a temporary dip in stocks should not deter Canadians from investing for potential long-term financial growth.

Read more »

ETFs can contain investments such as stocks
Dividend Stocks

Here Are My 2 Favourite ETFs to Buy for High-Yield Passive Income in 2026

These two reliable ETFs are easily some of the top funds that Canadian investors can buy for compelling passive income…

Read more »

delivery truck drives into sunset
Dividend Stocks

The Absolute Best Canadian Stocks to Buy and Hold Forever in a TFSA

Strong businesses, steady growth, and reliable returns make these two stocks ideal TFSA picks.

Read more »

Printing canadian dollar bills on a print machine
Dividend Stocks

This TSX-Listed ETF Pumps Tax-Free Monthly Cash Into Your TFSA

This ultra‑lean dividend ETF delivers monthly payouts from the top 21 of Canada’s highest‑quality dividend stocks -- tax‑free inside your…

Read more »

young people dance to exercise
Dividend Stocks

4 Canadian Stocks to Buy if You Want Instant Income

Get paid while you wait: four TSX income names with cash-flow support that can make dividends feel less like a…

Read more »