Have Teck Resources Ltd.’s Shares Finally Bottomed?

Teck Resources Ltd. (TSX:TCK.B)(NYSE:TCK) released second-quarter earnings on July 23, and its stock has reacted by falling over 11%. Is now the time to buy?

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The Motley Fool

Teck Resources Ltd. (TSX:TCK.B)(NYSE:TCK), the largest diversified resource company in Canada and the largest producer of steelmaking coal in North America, announced better-than-expected second-quarter earnings results on the morning of July 23, but its stock has responded by falling over 11% in the trading sessions since.

Let’s take a closer look at the results to determine if we should consider using this weakness as a long-term buying opportunity, or if we should wait for an even better entry point in the trading sessions ahead.

Breaking down the second-quarter results

Here’s a summary of Teck’s second-quarter earnings results compared to what analysts had expected and its results in the same period a year ago.

Metric Reported Expected Year-Ago
Adjusted Earnings Per Share $0.14 $0.12 $0.13
Revenue $2.00 billion $1.94 billion $2.01 billion

Source: Financial Times

Teck’s adjusted earnings per share increased 7.7% and its revenue decreased 0.5% compared to the second quarter of fiscal 2014. The company’s strong earnings per share growth can be attributed to its adjusted net profit increasing 9.7% to $79 million, helped by its total costs of sales decreasing 1.3% to $1.69 billion.

Its slight decline in revenue can be attributed to two primary factors. First, commodity prices have fallen dramatically over the last year, including the price of coal decreasing 14.4% to US$95 per tonne. Second, the company sold just 6.5 million tonnes of coal during the quarter, a decline of 4.4% from the year-ago period. These two factors led to Teck’s coal sales decreasing 8.3% to $764 million, which could not be entirely offset by its copper sales increasing 8.3% to $704 million and its zinc sales increasing 0.8% to $530 million.

Here’s a quick breakdown of 10 other notable statistics from the report compared to the year-ago period:

  1. Production of coal increased 3.1% to 6.6 million tonnes
  2. Production of copper increased 6.9% to 93,000 tonnes
  3. Sales of copper increased 11.5% to 97,000 tonnes
  4. Production of zinc in concentrate increased 14% to 179,000 tonnes
  5. Sales of zinc in concentrate decreased 5.4% to 105,000 tonnes
  6. Production of refined zinc increased 4.2% to 75,000 tonnes
  7. Sales of refined zinc increased 8.3% to 78,000 tonnes
  8. Gross profit before depreciation and amortization increased 6.3% to $676 million
  9. Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) increased 6.8% to $596 million
  10. Operating profit increased 12.3% to $238 million

Should you buy Teck Resources on the dip?

It was a solid quarter overall for Teck, so I do not think the steep post-earnings drop in its stock was warranted. With this being said, I think the drop represents a great long-term buying opportunity, because its stock trades at very inexpensive forward valuations and because it has a high dividend yield.

First, Teck’s stock now trades at just 13.6 times fiscal 2015’s estimated earnings per share of $0.68 and a mere 8.6 times fiscal 2016’s estimated earnings per share of $1.08, both of which are very inexpensive compared to its five-year average price-to-earnings multiple of 15.8.

Second, Teck pays a semi-annual dividend of $0.15 per share, or $0.30 per share annually, giving its stock a 3.2% yield at today’s levels. Investors should also note that the company reduced its dividend by 66.7% in April to bring its dividend payout and yield “more in line with current commodity prices,” and to ensure the “strength and flexibility” of its balance sheet, but I think the current rate is sustainable for the long term.

With all of the information above in mind, I think Teck Resources represents one of the best long-term investment opportunities in the metals and mining industry today. Foolish investors should take a closer look and strongly consider using the post-earnings weakness to begin scaling in to positions.

This article represents the opinion of the writer, who may disagree with the “official” recommendation position of a Motley Fool premium service or advisor. We’re Motley! Questioning an investing thesis — even one of our own — helps us all think critically about investing and make decisions that help us become smarter, happier, and richer, so we sometimes publish articles that may not be in line with recommendations, rankings or other content.

Fool contributor Joseph Solitro has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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