Is Canadian Oil Sands Ltd. a Turnaround Play or a Sinking Ship?

Canadian Oil Sands Ltd. (TSX:COS) released second-quarter earnings on July 30, and its stock reacted by falling over 2%. What should you do with the stock today?

The Motley Fool

Canadian Oil Sands Ltd. (TSX:COS), the company with a 36.74% ownership interest in the Syncrude oil sands project, announced second-quarter earnings results after the market closed on July 30, and its stock responded by falling over 2% in the trading session that followed. Let’s take a closer look at the results to determine if the weakness could continue, or if we should use it as a long-term buying opportunity.

A disappointing quarterly performance

Here’s a summary of Canadian Oil Sands’s second-quarter earnings results compared with its results in the same period a year ago.

Metric Q2 2015 Q2 2014
Earnings per share ($0.26) $0.36
Revenue, Net of Royalties $587 million $900 million

Source: Canadian Oil Sands Ltd.

In the second quarter of fiscal 2015, Canadian Oil Sands reported a net loss of $128 million, or $0.26 per share, compared to a net profit of $176 million, or $0.36 per share, in the same period a year ago, as its revenue, net of royalties, decreased 34.8% to $587 million. These very weak results can be attributed to the dramatic decline in the price of oil over the last year, which led to the company’s average realized selling price of synthetic crude oil decreasing 33.5% to $74.47 per barrel.

Here’s a breakdown of eight other notable statistics from the report compared with the year-ago period:

  1. Syncrude’s total production increased 2.6% to 207,700 barrels per day
  2. Sales volumes increased by 24 barrels to 77,088 barrels per day
  3. Cash flow from operations decreased 70.8% to $70 million
  4. Cash flow from operations decreased 72% to $0.14 per share
  5. Total operating expenses decreased 11.7% to $369 million
  6. Total operating expenses decreased 11.8% to $52.63 per barrel
  7. Capital expenditures decreased 51.7% to $155 million
  8. Paid out a quarterly dividend of $0.05 per share for a total cost of $24 million, compared with a dividend of $0.35 per share for a total cost of $169 million in the year-ago period

Canadian Oil Sands also announced that it will be maintaining its quarterly dividend of $0.05 per share, and the next payment will come on August 31 to shareholders of record at the close of business on August 24.

Should you buy or avoid Canadian Oil Sands’s stock today?

It was a very weak quarter for Canadian Oil Sands, so I think the post-earnings drop in its stock was warranted. I also think the stock could face continued weakness going forward because the price of oil remains under pressure, which will lead to further disappointment in the third and fourth quarters, and its measly 2.7% dividend yield will provide very little protection to the downside.

With all of the information provided above in mind, I think Foolish investors should avoid Canadian Oil Sands indefinitely.

Fool contributor Joseph Solitro has no position in any stocks mentioned.

More on Energy Stocks

A solar cell panel generates power in a country mountain landscape.
Energy Stocks

TFSA Millionaire Goals: Here’s How Much You Should Save Monthly

Here’s how to maximize the potential of your TFSA and find one of the best TSX stocks to help you…

Read more »

oil pump jack under night sky
Energy Stocks

The Oil Shock Is Here: How to Protect Your Investments Now

For investors looking to protect their portfolios from this rampant oil shock, here are three top stocks to consider buying…

Read more »

Canadian energy stocks are rising with oil prices
Energy Stocks

Canadian Investors: Here’s the 1 Sector You Want to Own When Oil Surges

These Canadian energy stocks stand out as top-tier picks for long-term investors looking to benefit from oil prices, which are…

Read more »

Oil industry worker works in oilfield
Energy Stocks

If You’d Invested $100 in Suncor Energy 5 Years Ago, Here’s How Much You’d Have Today

Find out how being invested can lead to wealth building, even with a small amount, like $100.

Read more »

oil pump jack under night sky
Energy Stocks

The Canadian Energy Stock I’m Buying Now: It’s a Steal

A "mass" resignation of directors of Gran Tierra Energy (TSX:GTE) stock is intriguing, but the value proposition on this small-cap…

Read more »

Dividend Stocks

3 Dividend Stocks That Could Help You Sleep Better in 2026

These three “sleep-better” dividend stocks rely on essential demand, giving you steadier cash flow when markets get noisy.

Read more »

golden sunset in crude oil refinery with pipeline system
Energy Stocks

2 Dividend Energy Stocks to Buy in March

Given their strong fundamentals and disciplined capital allocation strategies, these two energy companies could sustain dividend growth in the years…

Read more »

golden sunset in crude oil refinery with pipeline system
Energy Stocks

Why Every Canadian Portfolio Should Have at Least 1 Energy Stock Right Now

Here are three top Canadian energy stocks for investors looking to defend their portfolio (and potentially benefit) from the recent…

Read more »