Should You Buy Vermilion Energy Inc. Today?

Vermilion Energy Inc. (TSX:VET)(NYSE:VET) is your best bet as a mid-cap oil & gas producer today. All of its peers have slashed their dividends in the past couple of years, but Vermilion’s dividend has stayed strong. Should you buy its shares today?

| More on:
The Motley Fool

Most of the time, when you talk about energy companies, you think of the big guys such as Enbridge Inc., TransCanada Corporation, and Suncor Energy Inc. But there’s a smaller, mid-cap oil and gas producer that’s worth a look.

Vermilion Energy Inc. (TSX:VET)(NYSE:VET) is reporting its second-quarter earnings results today, August 10. Most energy companies are reporting bad results due to the tanking of the oil price, and I think Vermilion Energy won’t get away from that either, but at least it is diversified globally.

The business

Vermilion Energy is an international oil and gas producer with 20 years of experience. It has leading positions in high netback businesses in North America, Europe, and Australia. Its business model targets annual organic production growth of roughly 5% and aims to provide reliable, increasing dividends to investors.

For 2015, Vermilion is targeting 11-15% in production growth over 2014 through the exploration and development of natural gas opportunities in the Netherlands and Germany.

Outperforms peers

Compared with its mid-cap peers Baytex Energy Corp., Bonavista Energy Corp., and Enerplus Corp., Vermilion Energy has outperformed them in total returns across multiple time frames, from 15 years, 10 years, five years, down to its year-to-date performance.

Even though year-to-date Vermilion is down by 19%, it is still your best bet in a mid-cap oil and gas producer today.

Dividend

So far, its peers have cut their dividends one after another. Baytex Energy cut its dividend at the end of 2014. Bonavista Energy slashed its dividend in 2013, and again in 2015. Enerplus cut its dividend in March. Yet Vermilion Energy has still maintained its dividend thus far.

In fact, in 12 years Vermilion Energy has never once cut its dividend, but raised it three times, increasing it by 26% over the period.

Valuation

It’s difficult to evaluate energy companies now because the oil price is low and we don’t know how long it will stay low. Vermilion Energy estimates its funds-from-operations will drop by 30% in 2015 compared with last year, which implies the shares could drop below $40.

In conclusion

I’m not encouraging the timing of the market, but around earnings report time, the market can get especially emotional about a company. Vermilion Energy could go up or down 8% in one day.

Because energy companies are particularly volatile in the current harsh environment, Foolish investors can act cautiously by seeing how the shares react after the earnings report before considering a position.

Today at under $45, it’s not a bad time for a long-term position in this quality company, but if it moves under $40, that would be a more prudent entry point.

This article represents the opinion of the writer, who may disagree with the “official” recommendation position of a Motley Fool premium service or advisor. We’re Motley! Questioning an investing thesis — even one of our own — helps us all think critically about investing and make decisions that help us become smarter, happier, and richer, so we sometimes publish articles that may not be in line with recommendations, rankings or other content.

Fool contributor Kay Ng owns shares of Enbridge, Inc. (USA), Suncor Energy, Inc. (USA), and Vermilion Energy.

More on Dividend Stocks

The TFSA is a powerful savings vehicle for Canadians who are saving for retirement.
Dividend Stocks

TFSA: The Perfect Canadian Stocks to Buy and Hold Forever

Utility stocks like Canadian Utilities (TSX:CU) are often very good long-term holds.

Read more »

ETF stands for Exchange Traded Fund
Dividend Stocks

How to Use Your TFSA to Create $5,000 in Tax-Free Passive Income

Creating passive income doesn't have to be risky, and there's one ETF that could create substantial income over time.

Read more »

A worker uses a double monitor computer screen in an office.
Dividend Stocks

Here Are My Top 4 Undervalued Stocks to Buy Right Now

Are you looking for a steal from your stocks? These four have to be the best options from undervalued options.

Read more »

A plant grows from coins.
Dividend Stocks

Invest $20,000 in 2 TSX Stocks for $1,447 in Passive Income

Reliable investments like these telecom and utility stocks can generate worry-free passive income for decades.

Read more »

Sliced pumpkin pie
Dividend Stocks

Safe Stocks to Buy in Canada for November

These three safe Canadian stocks could stabilize your portfolio.

Read more »

farmer holds box of leafy greens
Dividend Stocks

Where Will Nutrien Stock Be in 1 Year?

Nutrien's (TSX:NTR) stock price could see meaningful upside over the next year given improving fundamentals and favourable industry conditions.

Read more »

money goes up and down in balance
Dividend Stocks

Surprise! This Stock Has Beaten the TSX in 2024: Is It Still a Buy?

Fairfax Financial Holdings (TSX:FFH) stock is a fantastic performer that could continue in the new year.

Read more »

Person holding a smartphone with a stock chart on screen
Tech Stocks

Where Will TMX Group Stock Be in 5 Years?

TMX Group (TSX:X) has an extremely good competitive position.

Read more »