Should You Buy or Avoid Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce After its Q4 Report?

Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (TSX:CM)(NYSE:CM) released fourth-quarter earnings on December 3, and its stock has reacted by falling over 1%. Should you buy on the dip?

| More on:
The Motley Fool

Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (TSX:CM)(NYSE:CM), the fifth-largest bank in Canada in terms of total assets, announced fourth-quarter earnings results on the morning of December 3, and its stock has responded by falling over 1%. Let’s break down the quarterly results and the fundamentals of the stock to determine if this weakness represents a long-term buying opportunity or a warning sign.

A quarter of strong top- and bottom-line growth

Here’s a summary of CIBC’s fourth-quarter earnings results compared with what analysts had anticipated and its results in the same period a year ago.

Metric Q4 2015 Actual Q4 2015 Expected Q4 2014 Actual
Adjusted Earnings Per Share $2.36 $2.34 $2.24
Revenue $3.48 billion $3.59 billion $3.21 billion

Source: Financial Times

CIBC’s adjusted earnings per share increased 5.4% and its revenue increased 8.4% compared with the fourth quarter of fiscal 2014. Its strong earnings-per-share growth can be attributed to its adjusted net income increasing 4.5% to $952 million, driven by 6.5% growth to $656 million in its Retail and Business Banking segment and 4% growth to $129 million in its Wealth Management segment.

Its very strong revenue growth can be attributed to growth in all three of its business segments, including 6.7% growth to $2.18 billion in its Retail and Business Banking segment, 4.3% growth to $609 million in its Wealth Management segment, and 23.7% growth to $579 million in its Capital Markets segment.

Here’s a quick breakdown of 10 other notable statistics from the report compared with the year-ago period:

  1. Net interest income increased 8.6% to $2.04 billion
  2. Non-interest income increased 8.1% to $1.44 billion
  3. Total assets increased 11.7% to $463.31 billion
  4. Total deposits increased 12.7% to $366.66 billion
  5. Total loans and acceptances, net of allowance, increased 8.5% to $290.98 billion
  6. Total assets under administration increased 8.4% to $1.85 trillion
  7. Total assets under management increased 12.2% to $170.47 billion
  8. Total common shareholders’ equity increased 15.8% to $20.36 billion
  9. Book value per share increased 15.7% to $51.25
  10. Adjusted efficiency ratio remained unchanged at 60.4%

CIBC also announced a 2.7% increase to its quarterly dividend to $1.15 per share, its fifth consecutive quarterly increase, and the next payment will come on January 28, 2016 to shareholders of record at the close of business on December 29, 2015.

Should you buy CIBC on the dip?

It was an outstanding quarter overall for CIBC, so I think its stock should have reacted by rising. With this being said, I think the drop represents nothing more than a long-term buying opportunity, especially because the stock now trades at even more attractive valuations and because it is one of the top dividend plays in the market.

First, CIBC’s stock now trades at just 10.5 times fiscal 2015’s adjusted earnings per share of $9.45 and only 10.3 times fiscal 2016’s estimated earnings per share of $9.66, both of which are inexpensive compared with its five-year average price-to-earnings multiple of 11.4 and the industry average multiple of 13.

It also trades at just 1.94 times its book value per share of $51.25, which is very inexpensive compared with its market-to-book value of 2.32 at the conclusion of fiscal 2014 and its five-year average market-to-book value of 2.17.

At the very least, I think CIBC’s stock should trade at 12 times earnings, which would place its shares around $116 by the conclusion of fiscal 2016, representing upside of more than 16% from today’s levels.

Second, CIBC now pays an annual dividend of $4.60 per share, which gives its stock a 4.6% yield. Investors should also make two important notes. First, the company has increased its annual dividend payment for five consecutive years, and it is currently on pace for 2016 to mark the sixth consecutive year with an increase. Second, it has a target dividend-payout ratio of 40-50% of net earnings, so its consistent growth should allow this streak to continue for the next several years.

With all of the information provided above in mind, I think Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce represents one of the best long-term investment opportunities in the market today. All Foolish investors should strongly consider using the post-earnings weakness to begin scaling in to positions.

Should you invest $1,000 in CIBC right now?

Before you buy stock in CIBC, consider this:

The Motley Fool Stock Advisor Canada analyst team just identified what they believe are the Top Stocks for 2025 and Beyond for investors to buy now… and CIBC wasn’t one of them. The Top Stocks that made the cut could potentially produce monster returns in the coming years.

Consider MercadoLibre, which we first recommended on January 8, 2014 ... if you invested $1,000 in the “eBay of Latin America” at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $21,345.77!*

Stock Advisor Canada provides investors with an easy-to-follow blueprint for success, including guidance on building a portfolio, regular updates from analysts, and two new stock picks each month – one from Canada and one from the U.S. The Stock Advisor Canada service has outperformed the return of S&P/TSX Composite Index by 24 percentage points since 2013*.

See the Top Stocks * Returns as of 4/21/25

This article represents the opinion of the writer, who may disagree with the “official” recommendation position of a Motley Fool premium service or advisor. We’re Motley! Questioning an investing thesis — even one of our own — helps us all think critically about investing and make decisions that help us become smarter, happier, and richer, so we sometimes publish articles that may not be in line with recommendations, rankings or other content.

Fool contributor Joseph Solitro has no position in any stocks mentioned.

More on Dividend Stocks

clock time
Dividend Stocks

I’d Invest $7,000 in This Single Stock for the Next 30 Years

Invest in Bank of Nova Scotia (TSX:BNS) if you’re looking for a holding for your self-directed investment portfolio you can…

Read more »

shoppers in an indoor mall
Dividend Stocks

6.2% Dividend Yield! I’m Buying This TSX Stock and Holding for Decades

This dividend yield may not be double digit, but it's far safer than many others out there.

Read more »

Man holds Canadian dollars in differing amounts
Dividend Stocks

1 Magnificent TSX Value Stock Down 28% I’m Buying With Confidence

goeasy is a rare combination of value, income, and growth worth considering today for high-risk, long-term investors.

Read more »

Trans Alaska Pipeline with Autumn Colors
Dividend Stocks

This Canadian Pipeline Paying 5.5% is My Top Pick for Income Investors

Pembina Pipeline stock’s 5.5% yield, strong contracts, and minimal tariff impact make it a top pick for income investors seeking…

Read more »

Retirees sip their morning coffee outside.
Dividend Stocks

I’d Put $7,000 in This Reliable Monthly Dividend Payer – Immediately

The following three monthly paying dividend stocks can deliver a reliable passive income.

Read more »

stocks climbing green bull market
Top TSX Stocks

Where I’d Invest $13,000 in the TSX Today

TSX stocks that are benefitting from strong fundamentals and offer investors good entry points today include Enbridge and Aecon.

Read more »

Happy shoppers look at a cellphone.
Dividend Stocks

The Only TSX Stock I’d Buy and Hold for the Next 20 Years

This TSX stock offers growth potential, consistent income, and solid value. These characteristics will result in above-average returns.

Read more »

senior man smiles next to a light-filled window
Dividend Stocks

I’d Bet My Entire TFSA on This 3.5% Monthly Dividend Stock

An outperforming monthly dividend stock is a good prospect for TFSA investors in 2025.

Read more »