Why Cash Flow Is a Better Indicator Than Earnings

Power Financial Corp. (TSX:PWF) has a history of strong cash flow generation.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s premium investing services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Cash flow is what keeps companies alive, thriving, investing in their businesses, and giving back to shareholders. More specifically, free cash flow, which is the company’s cash flow after it has made necessary capital expenditures for the business, reflects the cash the company has generated over and above expenses, thus giving a better indication of the long-term health and prospects of a company.

Earnings, however, is an accounting measure that allows some flexibility in how transactions are recorded to give an accurate picture of the company’s financials in certain periods. Unfortunately, this flexibility also means that it is subject to manipulation that can inflate the earnings power of a company, whether it is intentional or not.

So, what we as investors should be looking for is a company that produces a high-quality earnings-per-share (EPS) number — a number that is relatively close to the cash that a company actually earned and, ideally, is even higher than what the company reported as earnings.

What are some examples of this?

Power Financial Corp. (TSX:PWF) had a free cash flow yield of 14% in 2016, although this has come down from prior years (15.9% in 2015 and 19.6% in 2013) due to industry challenges and company-specific challenges that Power Financial’s subsidiaries, IGM and Great West Life, have been experiencing.

IGM has been negatively affected by weakening sales, increased competition, and fee pressure. Great West Life continues to struggle with low interest rates.

On a more positive note, Power Financial increased its dividend last quarter by 5.1%, and its dividend yield now stands an attractive 4.85%.

Another company that has performed well with respect to the cash flow generation is Celestica Inc. (TSX:CLS)(NYSE:CLS). Year after year, the company continues to report cash flow from operations that is higher than its net income — a very good position to be in.

And lastly, after a couple of years of downward pressure on Avigilon Corp.’s (TSX:AVO) margins, it looks like they are showing signs of strengthening. In 2016, cash flow from operations of $43 million exceeded net income of $7.2 million, and the company had a cash flow margin of 12.2% (free cash flow was $6 million for a free cash flow margin of 1.7%, reflecting continued elevated spending on growth).

Bottom line

So, at the very least, investors should keep in mind that they should not look at EPS in isolation. Always be sure to also evaluate a company’s ability to generate cash flow and its history of cash flow generation, because, ultimately, this is what really matters.

Should you invest $1,000 in Microsoft right now?

Before you buy stock in Microsoft, consider this:

The Motley Fool Stock Advisor Canada analyst team just identified what they believe are the Top Stocks for 2025 and Beyond for investors to buy now… and Microsoft wasn’t one of them. The Top Stocks that made the cut could potentially produce monster returns in the coming years.

Consider MercadoLibre, which we first recommended on January 8, 2014 ... if you invested $1,000 in the “eBay of Latin America” at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $20,697.16!*

Stock Advisor Canada provides investors with an easy-to-follow blueprint for success, including guidance on building a portfolio, regular updates from analysts, and two new stock picks each month – one from Canada and one from the U.S. The Stock Advisor Canada service has outperformed the return of S&P/TSX Composite Index by 29 percentage points since 2013*.

See the Top Stocks * Returns as of 3/20/25

This article represents the opinion of the writer, who may disagree with the “official” recommendation position of a Motley Fool premium service or advisor. We’re Motley! Questioning an investing thesis — even one of our own — helps us all think critically about investing and make decisions that help us become smarter, happier, and richer, so we sometimes publish articles that may not be in line with recommendations, rankings or other content.

Fool contributor Karen Thomas owns shares of Avigilon and CELESTICA INC. SV. Avigilon is a recommendation of Stock Advisor Canada.

Confidently Navigate Market Volatility: Claim Your Free Report!

Feeling uneasy about the ups and downs of the stock market lately? You’re not alone. At The Motley Fool Canada, we get it — and we’re here to help. We’ve crafted an essential guide designed to help you through these uncertain times: "5-Step Checklist: How to Prepare Your Portfolio for Volatility."

Don't miss out on this opportunity for peace of mind. Just click below to learn how to receive your complimentary report today!

Get Our Free Report Today

More on Dividend Stocks

Blocks conceptualizing Canada's Tax Free Savings Account
Dividend Stocks

How I’d Allocate My TFSA Contribution to Canadian Value Stocks This Year

I’d split my $7,000 TFSA contribution across solid dividend-paying stocks from different sectors

Read more »

dividend growth for passive income
Dividend Stocks

Why I’d Invest in Canadian Value Stocks for Both Stability and Growth

Three Canadian value stocks are buying opportunities for investors looking for stability and growth.

Read more »

investment research
Dividend Stocks

Got $15,000? 3 Blue-Chip Stocks Every Canadian Should Consider

Here's why investing in blue-chip TSX stocks such as CNQ and CNR should derive outsized gains in 2025 and beyond.

Read more »

protect, safe, trust
Dividend Stocks

Where I’d Allocate $20,000 in 2 Safer High-Yield Dividend Stocks for Retirement Needs

Here are two safer, high-yield dividend stocks I'm looking at for my retirement needs.

Read more »

A red umbrella stands higher than a crowd of black umbrellas.
Dividend Stocks

3 Reasons I’m Considering Enbridge Stock for a $5,000 Investment This April

I'm considering Enbridge stock to provide some defensive appeal and a juicy dividend to my long-term portfolio.

Read more »

monthly desk calendar
Dividend Stocks

A 9.2% Dividend Stock Paying Cash Every Single Month

With one of the highest dividends out there, this dividend stock deserves attention in your portfolio.

Read more »

Happy golf player walks the course
Dividend Stocks

Build a Powerful Passive Income Portfolio With Just $20,000

If you are worried that the bear market could reduce your savings, these stocks can build a powerful passive income…

Read more »

Hand Protecting Senior Couple
Dividend Stocks

How I’d Use My $7,000 TFSA Contribution to Start Retirement Planning

These TSX stocks have solid fundamentals and are well-positioned to deliver significant tax-free total returns over time.

Read more »