Why Spin Master Corp. Is up Over 15% Today

Spin Master Corp. (TSX:TOY) released its Q2 results yesterday afternoon, and its stock has responded by rallying more than 15%. Can the rally continue? Let’s find out.

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Spin Master Corp. (TSX:TOY), one of the world’s largest children’s entertainment companies, released its second-quarter earnings results and raised its guidance for 2017 after the market closed yesterday, and its stock has responded by soaring more than 15% in today’s trading session. Let’s break down the quarterly results and the new guidance to determine if the rally can continue and if we should be long-term buyers today.

A very strong quarter of double-digit growth

Here’s a quick breakdown of 10 of the most notable statistics from Spin Master’s three-month period ended on June 30, 2017, compared with the same period in 2016:

Metric Q2 2017 Q2 2016 Change
Total gross product sales US$283.17 million US$186.02 million 52.2%
Total gross sales US$300.74 million US$198.38 million 51.6%
Total revenue US$276.65 million US$179.36 million 54.2%
Gross profit US$141.4 million US$91.63 million 54.3%
Gross margin 51.1% 51.1% unchanged
Adjusted EBITDA US$43.72 million US$25.39 million 72.2%
Adjusted EBITDA margin 15.8% 14.2% 160 basis points
Adjusted net income US$22.22 million US$11.7 million 89.9%
Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) US$0.22 US$0.12 83.3%
Free cash flow (cash use) US$24.84 million (US$11.03 million) N/A

A bump in its guidance

As a result of its very strong financial performance in the first half of 2017, Spin Master raised its guidance for the full year. Here’s a breakdown of its new guidance compared with its previous guidance:

Metric New Guidance Previous Guidance
Gross product sales growth (excluding Swimways) Mid-20% growth range Mid to high single-digit growth
Gross product sales growth (including Swimways) Low 30% growth range Low teens growth range
Adjusted EBITDA margin (including Swimways and Toca Boca) 100 basis points over 2016 In line with 2016

Should you buy Spin Master today?

It was a phenomenal quarter overall for Spin Master, and it capped off an outstanding first half of the year for the company, in which its revenues increased 47.9% year over year to US$504.4 million, its adjusted net income increased 53.6% year over year to US$35.77 million, and its adjusted EPS increased 45.8% year over year to US$0.35.

I think the market has reacted correctly by sending Spin Master’s stock soaring today, and I think it could continue higher from here, because investors will continue to pay up for its incredible growth rate. With all of this being said, I think Foolish investors should consider beginning to scale in to long-term positions in Spin Master over the next couple of trading sessions.

This article represents the opinion of the writer, who may disagree with the “official” recommendation position of a Motley Fool premium service or advisor. We’re Motley! Questioning an investing thesis — even one of our own — helps us all think critically about investing and make decisions that help us become smarter, happier, and richer, so we sometimes publish articles that may not be in line with recommendations, rankings or other content.

Fool contributor Joseph Solitro has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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