How to Determine Dividend Safety

A combination of things can improve the safety of your dividends. Here’s an example with three companies, including Peyto Exploration & Development Corp. (TSX:PEY).

| More on:

Typically, when a company’s yield exceeds 7%, investors start to question its sustainability. The rationale is that the market commands a higher yield in that stock, which makes it riskier than similar companies that offer lower yields.

That risk could be in the form of slower company growth or that the dividend is outright unsustainable. However, whether or not a company can maintain its yield must be studied on a case-by-case basis and does not have a direct relationship with how big or small its yield is.

Here are several examples from different industries: Toronto-Dominion Bank (TSX:TD)(NYSE:TD), NorthWest Health Prop Real Est Inv Trust (TSX:NWH.UN), and Peyto Exploration & Development Corp. (TSX:PEY).

Toronto-Dominion Bank

The Canadian banks are known for their safe dividends. Even during the Financial Crisis, they were still able to maintain their dividends, including Toronto-Dominion Bank.

In fact, the bank’s annual payout is more than five times its payout in fiscal 2000 and more than two times its payout in fiscal 2007, right before the Financial Crisis.

Recently, we saw interest rate hikes, which allow Toronto-Dominion Bank and other banks to be more profitable with a higher net interest margin. Throwing in a payout ratio of under 45% and estimated earnings-per-share growth of at least 9% in the next three to five years, Toronto-Dominion Bank is capable of growing its dividend at a decent pace. At ~$67.50, investors can get an initial yield of ~3.5%.

dividends

Northwest Healthcare Properties

Northwest Healthcare Properties earns rental income from 144 healthcare properties in the major markets of Canada, Brazil, Germany, Australia, and New Zealand. The asset mix is about 55% medical office buildings and other and 45% hospitals.

Northwest Healthcare Properties’s portfolio has a weighted average lease expiry of about 11 years and an occupancy of ~96%. Moreover, the real estate investment trust (REIT) has a payout ratio of ~83%, and it has some inflation-indexed leases. So, the company can maintain its yield. At ~$11.10, investors can get a starting yield of ~7.2%.

Notably, Northwest Healthcare Properties’s biggest tenant is Rede D’Or, which was founded in 1977 and is one of the largest hospital operators in Brazil. Rede D’Or contributes 18.7% of the REIT’s gross rent.

Peyto

Although the company is an oil and gas producer (primarily gas), the management keeps a close eye on its earnings and how much in dividends it pays out. Since converting from a trust to a corporation at the end of 2010, the company has increased its dividend by 83%.

That said, with the volatility of the underlying commodity prices, there’s no telling for sure that the dividends from oil and gas producers are safe. However, Peyto is one of the few producers with a higher chance of maintaining its dividend. At $20.40, Peyto offers a yield of ~6.5%.

Investor takeaway

Dividend companies with volatile earnings and cash flows have a bigger chance of cutting their dividends in bad times. A company whose payout ratio is in line or below its peers’ has a safer dividend. Consistent growth in a company’s earnings or cash flows improves the company’s dividend safety. Management’s commitment to the dividend also helps.

Fool contributor Kay Ng owns shares of NORTHWEST HEALTHCARE PPTYS REIT UNITS and PEYTO EXPLORATION AND DVLPMNT CORP. NorthWest Healthcare Properties is a recommendation of Stock Advisor Canada.

More on Dividend Stocks

dividend stocks are a good way to earn passive income
Dividend Stocks

Will a Stronger Loonie Reshape TSX Returns?

The Canadian dollar is strengthening. A stronger loonie could reshape TSX sector performance to benefit domestically focused companies.

Read more »

Man data analyze
Dividend Stocks

3 TSX Dividend Stocks With Payout Ratios You Can Actually Trust

These three TSX dividend stocks don't just offer growth potential and attractive yields; they also have highly sustainable dividends.

Read more »

coins jump into piggy bank
Dividend Stocks

Where to Invest During Market Turbulence: Gold, Staples or Cash?

When market turbulence hits, investors rotate out of more volatile areas of the market. Here’s where investors shift to.

Read more »

Muscles Drawn On Black board
Dividend Stocks

3 Canadian Stocks Billionaires Are Buying in Bulk

Investors looking for insider buying activity (particularly from billionaires) may want to consider these three Canadian stocks right now.

Read more »

hand stacks coins
Dividend Stocks

Sustainable Stocks for Passive Income Investing in 2026

If you're looking for reliable dividend stocks that can generate sustainable passive income for years, these three stocks are among…

Read more »

Dividend Stocks

Growth, Value, Dividends: 1 Canadian Stock In Each Category to Buy Immediately

For investors seeking top-tier opportunities in the world of value, growth and dividend stocks, here are three great ideas spanning…

Read more »

man in suit looks at a computer with an anxious expression
Dividend Stocks

A Year Later: 1 Canadian Stock That Proved the Doubters Wrong, and 1 That Didn’t

Couche-Tard and goeasy show how patience can pay when strong operators keep executing through ugly headlines.

Read more »

alcohol
Dividend Stocks

Everyday Stocks That Can Defend Your Wealth, Too

Everyday stocks like utilities, grocers, and everyday staples provide a defensive moat for any portfolio and any market environment.

Read more »