Should You Invest in The World’s Most Unloved Stock Market?

If you show some love to the UK right now, your portfolio might just love you back.

The Motley Fool

Global stock markets are on a roll, defying repeated predictions that they are about to crash.

The US S&P 500 index has just posted 13 consecutive months of growth for the first time in 90 years, while Europe MSCI is up 25% over the past year.

Yet investors have lost their passion for one key market. It is so unloved, even the locals do not want to invest in it.

I am talking about the UK.

Where did our love go?

The British are pouring money into stocks and shares investing a record £5.6 billion in September, with global funds the bestselling sector.

Europe, Japan and North America all enjoyed massive inflows, but there is one place the Brits do not want to invest.

In fact, they are pulling money out. It is their own country.

No growth

The British certainly have plenty of reasons to feel fed up right now. Inflation stands at 3%, but wages are growing at just 2.2%, which means people are getting poorer in real terms.

Effectively Britain has not had a pay rise in 15 years, and GDP growth is now the lowest in the EU.

Brexit is dividing the nation, and creating massive business uncertainty. Recently the UK has discovered the price of leaving the EU: between €60bn and €100bn.

Collapse

The world has noticed. The latest Bank of America Merrill Lynch survey of investor sentiment shows attitudes towards the UK are as low as in 2008, when the UK banking system was on the verge of collapse.

Things could get worse, especially if the UK crashes out of the EU without a deal.

It seems that everybody hates the UK… which could make now an exciting time to invest.

The benchmark FTSE 100 index of top stocks is up 12.1% in the past 12 months, a positive return but just half the growth seen across Europe.

However, there are hopes that the UK and EU will edge closer towards a much-needed trade deal, especially with the UK apparently now agreeing to pay the divorce bill.

There are sticking points on Ireland and the rights of EU citizens, but both sides have a clear financial interest in striking an agreement before March 2019.

If we see further progress over the coming months, business confidence and investment will pick up and the love could start flowing again.

Fighting back

While the overvalued US is trading at almost 31.86 times earnings, according to the Shiller PE ratio, the FTSE 100 trades at just 15.22, and offers a generous average yield of 3.86% to boot.

It also includes global behemoths who should perform well regardless of what happens domestically, such as oil majors BP and Royal Dutch Shell, HSBC Holdings, British American Tobacco, pharmaceutical giants GlaxoSmithKline and AstraZeneca, and Vodafone Group and Unilever.

If you show some love to the UK right now, your portfolio might just love you back.

This article represents the opinion of the writer, who may disagree with the “official” recommendation position of a Motley Fool premium service or advisor. We’re Motley! Questioning an investing thesis — even one of our own — helps us all think critically about investing and make decisions that help us become smarter, happier, and richer, so we sometimes publish articles that may not be in line with recommendations, rankings or other content.

More on Investing

TFSA (Tax free savings account) acronym on wooden cubes on the background of stacks of coins
Investing

TFSA: 4 Growth Stocks to Buy and Hold Forever

Here are four top Canadian growth stocks to load up on in your TFSA this year.

Read more »

Man data analyze
Bank Stocks

Where Will TD Stock Be in 3 Years?

TD offers opportunities for income and total return investors alike who are willing to hold for the long haul.

Read more »

Person holds banknotes of Canadian dollars
Dividend Stocks

This 8% Dividend Stock Is My Top Pick for Immediate Income

This Canadian stock has a growing earnings base, solid dividend-growth history, and a well-protected yield of over 8%.

Read more »

tsx today
Stock Market

TSX Today: What to Watch for in Stocks on Tuesday, January 14

The Canadian stock market selloff continued for the second consecutive session on Monday as concerns about elevated interest rates and…

Read more »

stocks climbing green bull market
Investing

Fast Food, Faster Gains? Restaurant Brands Stock Is Poised for a Defensive Rally

Here's why Restaurant Brands (TSX:QSR) stock may be poised for a significant move higher this year if the bull rally…

Read more »

ways to boost income
Dividend Stocks

Want 6% Yield? 3 TSX Stocks to Buy Today

These high-yield TSX stocks are better positioned to sustain their payouts and maintain consistent dividend payments.

Read more »

Caution, careful
Dividend Stocks

The CRA Is Watching Your TFSA: 3 Red Flags to Avoid

Holding iShares S&P/TSX Capped Composite Fund (TSX:XIC) in a TFSA isn't a red flag. These three things are.

Read more »

dividend growth for passive income
Tech Stocks

2 Canadian Growth Stocks Set to Skyrocket in the Next 12 Months

There are some great growth stocks out there for investors to consider, but of them all these two look like…

Read more »