Is It Too Late to Buy This Fabulous Growth Stock?

Spin Master Corp. (TSX:TOY) has been a wonderful stock and business. Should you buy some now or wait for a dip?

| More on:
time is money compounding

Warren Buffett said to avoid initial public offerings (IPOs) because newly listed companies have no public history of its performance. Investors won’t know if they’re buying into a great company or a bad one. However, Spin Master Corp. (TSX:TOY) has been a fantastic investment since its IPO. The stock has delivered about 45% per year since 2015!

The company has proven to be a winner. Spin Master stock popped about 5% after releasing its second-quarter results last week. Is it too late to invest in the toymaker and children’s entertainment company? First, let’s review its Q2 results.

Spin Master PAW Patrol

Spin Master’s Q2 results

Here are some key metrics compared to the same period in 2017:

Q2 2017 Q2 2018 Change
Revenue US$276.7 million US$311.5 million 12.6%
Gross product sales US$283.2 million US$296.2 million 4.6%
Gross profit US$141.4 million US$153.2 million 8.4%
Net income US$22.1 million US$26.9 million 21.7%
Net income per share US$0.22 US$0.26 18.2%
Adjusted EBITDA US$43.7 million US$45.4 million 3.8%

Revenue growth was helped slightly by favourable foreign exchange rates. In constant currency terms, Spin Master’s revenue in Q2 2018 would have increased 11.8% compared to Q2 2017.

Spin Master’s gross product sales were driven by sales of Hatchimals Colleggtibles, Cardinal (from its Games & Puzzles segment), Gund, Party Popteenies, and Cool Maker-branded products (from its Activities segment).

Spin Master saw modest growth of 3% in its North American gross product sales and a decline of 7.1% in Europe, but incredible growth of 26.6% in the rest of the world.

Spin Master’s international gross product sales were 32% of its total gross product sales for the quarter. In the medium term, it aims to increase it to 40%.

Notably, Spin Master’s other revenue saw exceptional growth of 88.4% to US$33.1 million compared to US$17.6 million. This revenue primarily consists of merchandising royalty and television distribution income from products marketed by third parties using Spin Master’s owned intellectual property, as well as app revenue from Toca Boca and Sago Mini, which were successful, strategic acquisitions that Spin Master made in 2016.

Is it too late to buy Spin Master?

Spin Master has been on a tear since its IPO. However, it’s still growing strongly. For example, it has plans to expand further in Europe and will be selling directly to leading retailers in Russia, Switzerland, Austria, and Greece in 2019.

The stock is not cheap, however. At just under $56 per share at the time of writing, Spin Master trades at a blended price-to-earnings multiple of about 24.4. Investors who have a long-term investment horizon might choose to scale in over time if they’re afraid to miss the boat — and hopefully get a lower average cost basis. Cautious investors should look to buy the stock on meaningful dips that ideally reach below $50 per share in the next six to 12 months.

This article represents the opinion of the writer, who may disagree with the “official” recommendation position of a Motley Fool premium service or advisor. We’re Motley! Questioning an investing thesis — even one of our own — helps us all think critically about investing and make decisions that help us become smarter, happier, and richer, so we sometimes publish articles that may not be in line with recommendations, rankings or other content.

Fool contributor Kay Ng owns shares of Spin Master Corp. Spin Master is a recommendation of Stock Advisor Canada.

More on Investing

Canada national flag waving in wind on clear day
Tech Stocks

Trump Trade: Canadian Stocks to Watch

With Trump returning to the presidency, there are some sectors that could boom in Canada, and others to watch. But…

Read more »

A train passes Morant's curve in Banff National Park in the Canadian Rockies.
Investing

Is Canadian National Railway Worth Buying for its 2.2% Dividend Yield?

Let's dive into whether Canadian National Railway (TSX:CNR) is a top buy for long-term investors at this point in the…

Read more »

nuclear power plant
Energy Stocks

Is Cameco Stock Still a Buy?

Cameco stock recently reported earnings that showed the Westinghouse investment is creating some major costs. But that could change.

Read more »

cloud computing
Dividend Stocks

Insurance Showdown: Better Buy, Great-West Life or Manulife Stock?

GWO stock and MFC stock are two of the top names in insurance, but which holds the better outlook?

Read more »

analyze data
Dividend Stocks

Here’s Why the Average TFSA for Canadians Aged 41 Isn’t Enough

The average TFSA simply isn't enough for most Canadians in their early 40s. Here's how to catch up.

Read more »

A plant grows from coins.
Dividend Stocks

The Smartest Dividend-Growth Stocks to Buy With $1,000 Right Now

New dividend-growth investors should consider CN Rail (TSX:CNR) stock and another top play if they're looking to build wealth over…

Read more »

concept of real estate evaluation
Dividend Stocks

How to Earn a TFSA Paycheque Every Month and Pay No Taxes on It

Canadian REITs can turn your TFSA into a monthly paycheque machine for life. Here's how Morguard North American Residential REIT…

Read more »

Start line on the highway
Investing

2 No-Brainer Growth Stocks to Buy Now With $5,000 and Hold Long Term

Market conditions today are ideal for growth investing, and two rising stocks are no-brainer buys in November.

Read more »