Were the Short-Sellers Wrong? Is Aphria Inc (TSX:APHA) a Good Buy?

Aphria Inc (TSX:APHA)(NYSE:APHA) hopes that a recent report will put to rest questions about some of its investments.

Aphria (TSX:APHA)(NYSE:APHA) has seen its name dragged through the mud for some time. The stock was one of the worst performing on the TSX last year, and it even got a low-ball offer last year from a company that saw an opportunity to make a steal of a deal. However, a lot of the stock’s struggles stem from the bad press it has received surrounding its investments in other parts of the world; a short-seller alleged that the investments were worthless and that the company was a “black hole.”

Since then, Aphria has done its own analysis of the acquisition of LATAM Holdings Inc., the one which the company has been accused of overpaying for. A special committee of independent directors acting with legal and accounting professionals set out to review the dealings and decipher if any wrongdoing took place.

In their findings, the special committee was able to confirm the existence of the assets in both Colombia and Jamaica, as advisors had conducted in-person site reviews. Another key finding was that the purchase price paid for the acquisition was “within an acceptable range as compared to similar acquisitions by competitors.” The committee did note, however, that there were some conflicting interests involving non-independent directors that weren’t fully disclosed.

What does this mean for investors?

This report should alleviate some of the concerns that investors had of the assets not existing or being wildly overpriced. One of the risks when a company invests in another part of the world is that it’s often not easy to gain visibility into those assets to see that they really exist or that they’re worth what the company paid for them. However, by verifying the assets, the committee was able to address a big cloud hanging over Aphria’s investments and should help add some confidence to its balance sheet.

While the committee did note that the price paid was comparable to others, that wouldn’t suggest to me that it’s still a good price. After all, we’ve seen many high price tags when it comes to the cannabis industry, and it might not be a good ball park to compare against. At the very least, however, investors can have some sense of relief that it isn’t a whole lot worse than what Aphria’s peers have paid for some of their investments.

Is the stock a buy?

Aphria’s stock has started the year on a good rally, rising more than 60% year to date. Last week’s news could help propel the stock even higher, as investors might see this as an opportunity to buy the stock back up before it peaks yet again. The one sobering reminder for investors is that the stock has been very volatile over the past year and it’s a very high-risk buy, even with fears being calmed a little about the company’s investments.

Outside a spike in price around August to November, Aphria’s stock has typically traded at around $12 or less over the past 12 months, and I wouldn’t expect this news to carry it much higher. Without a big development or earnings report, I still wouldn’t consider buying Aphria today.

Fool contributor David Jagielski has no position in any of the stocks mentioned.

More on Investing

Oil industry worker works in oilfield
Metals and Mining Stocks

A Monthly-Paying TSX Stock With a 6.3% Dividend Yield Worth Adding to Your Radar

This TSX oil and gas royalty cuts you a fat dividend check every month.

Read more »

ETF is short for exchange traded fund, a popular investment choice for Canadians
Dividend Stocks

3 Canadian ETFs Soaring Upwards to Buy Now for a TFSA

These three BMO index ETFs can turn a TFSA into a simple global portfolio that compounds tax-free.

Read more »

Metals
Metals and Mining Stocks

1 Canadian Mining Stock Down 18% That I’d Buy and Hold for the Very Long Term

This mining stock is down from its recent highs, but its long-term story is just getting started.

Read more »

Senior uses a laptop computer
Dividend Stocks

What TFSA Millionaires Understand That Most Canadian Investors Don’t

TFSA millionaires focus on consistency – and these stocks reflect that approach.

Read more »

Utility, wind power
Dividend Stocks

1 TSX Stock That Could Be Positioned for a Strong Run in 2026 and Beyond

Brookfield Renewable Partners (TSX:BEPC) could have a strong run in 2026.

Read more »

Nuclear power station cooling tower
Energy Stocks

2 Canadian Stocks Supercharged to Surge in 2026

Brookfield and NexGen Energy are two Canadian stocks with explosive upside in 2026. Here's why investors shouldn't sleep on either…

Read more »

dividends grow over time
Energy Stocks

1 Canadian Energy Stock Poised for Growth Most Investors Haven’t Even Heard About

This under-the-radar gas producer is pairing strong drilling results with hedges and infrastructure advantages to quietly compound.

Read more »

Woman checking her computer and holding coffee cup
Dividend Stocks

TFSA or RRSP: Doesn’t Matter if You Don’t Invest!

TFSA or RRSP won’t change much if your money just sits in cash, but investing it can.

Read more »