Was Warren Buffett Right to Bail on Canada’s Housing Market?

Almost two years removed from his multi-billion-dollar investment in the Canadian housing market, did Warren Buffett make the right move in cutting ties with Home Capital Group Inc (TSX:HCG)?

| More on:

It’s been almost two years ago now since world-famous billionaire investor Warren Buffett made headlines across the country when he announced his intention to bail out Home Capital Group (TSX:HCG), ultimately saving the firm from what then seemed like almost certain insolvency.

While others at the time were questioning whether Home Capital would make it through the end of the year, Buffett, through his holding company Berkshire Hathaway, offered to step in and provide the then-embattled mortgage lender with a $2 billion emergency line of credit in addition to an equity stake in the firm, then valued at as much as US$400 million.

That additional element, the ownership piece, and Berkshire’s willingness to align its interests directly alongside those of the company’s existing shareholders ultimately served to restore investor confidence in the company.

After all, if Buffett was willing to be an owner, why wouldn’t anyone else want to be?

Between May and June of 2017, HCG stock would go on to rally from its intraday low just pennies north of $5 per share to new highs of more than $20 per share.

Since then the stock has worked to find support trading often between the mid-to-high teens, as the company’s leadership team under the direction of new CEO Yousry Bissada, works diligently to regain its footing and to restore its credibility as a trusted alternative lending institution.

Ironically, one of the most volatile periods to hit HCG stock since the Berkshire bailout came late last year in December, when Buffett announced that BRK was planning to “substantially exit” its position in Home Capital.

As part of the original rescue deal, Buffett had negotiated an option whereby he would be entitled to increase his ownership stake from the original 19.9% up to 38.4%.

But when it came to a vote in September of later that year, HCG shareholders voted against granting Buffett the additional stake because of the dilutive impact it would have had on their existing ownership positions.

Foolish bottom line

Despite that the Buffett-Home Capital marriage only ended up lasting a grand total of less than two years, it would still be difficult to argue both parties aren’t better off today for having been party to it.

Buffett and BRK, of course, walked away with their line of credit paid back in full in addition to a tidy return on Berkshire’s short-lived equity stake in the company.

Meanwhile, Home Capital has enjoyed the benefit of having its investor confidence restored while continuing to make progress, even in the time since Buffett’s departure, including year-over-year growth in mortgage loan originations, deposits, and net income during the first quarter.

Yet even despite its progress, HCG shares continue to trade below their reported tangible book value, making this an interesting investment idea should the Canadian housing market continue to display strength.

This article represents the opinion of the writer, who may disagree with the “official” recommendation position of a Motley Fool premium service or advisor. We’re Motley! Questioning an investing thesis — even one of our own — helps us all think critically about investing and make decisions that help us become smarter, happier, and richer, so we sometimes publish articles that may not be in line with recommendations, rankings or other content.

Fool contributor Jason Phillips has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool owns shares of Berkshire Hathaway (B shares).

More on Bank Stocks

Confused person shrugging
Bank Stocks

Royal Bank vs. National Bank: Where Should You Park Your Investment Capital?

If we go by growth alone, it's easy to identify the top contender in the Canadian banking sector, but a…

Read more »

calculate and analyze stock
Bank Stocks

Is Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce a Buy for its 4% Dividend Yield?

Besides its 4% annualized dividend yield, these top reasons make Canadian Imperial Bank stock really attractive for long-term investors right…

Read more »

ways to boost income
Bank Stocks

2 Undervalued Canadian Bank Stocks to Buy Now

These Big Six Banks offer growth potential and reliable dividend payments.

Read more »

Man holds Canadian dollars in differing amounts
Bank Stocks

Got $1,000? BNS Stock Can Turn it Into a Passive-Income Stream

Down more than 20% from all-time highs, Bank of Nova Scotia currently offers a tasty dividend yield of over 6%…

Read more »

dividend growth for passive income
Top TSX Stocks

1 Magnificent Canadian Stock Down 9 Percent to Buy and Hold Forever

There are some really great stocks on the market for any portfolio, but this one magnificent Canadian stock screams buy.

Read more »

Paper Canadian currency of various denominations
Bank Stocks

Is BNS Stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold for 2025?

Bank of Nova Scotia (TSX:BNS) is one of Canada's big bank stocks, but should you buy, sell or hold BNS…

Read more »

A worker uses a double monitor computer screen in an office.
Bank Stocks

Is BNS Stock a Buy for its Dividend Yield?

Bank of Nova Scotia is up nearly 30% in the past year. Are more gains on the way?

Read more »

A red umbrella stands higher than a crowd of black umbrellas.
Bank Stocks

Best Stock to Buy Right Now: TD Bank or Manulife Financial?

Manulife continues to see momentum in its business and stock price, while TD Bank stock remains down and out.

Read more »