Was Warren Buffett Right to Bail on Canada’s Housing Market?

Almost two years removed from his multi-billion-dollar investment in the Canadian housing market, did Warren Buffett make the right move in cutting ties with Home Capital Group Inc (TSX:HCG)?

| More on:

It’s been almost two years ago now since world-famous billionaire investor Warren Buffett made headlines across the country when he announced his intention to bail out Home Capital Group (TSX:HCG), ultimately saving the firm from what then seemed like almost certain insolvency.

While others at the time were questioning whether Home Capital would make it through the end of the year, Buffett, through his holding company Berkshire Hathaway, offered to step in and provide the then-embattled mortgage lender with a $2 billion emergency line of credit in addition to an equity stake in the firm, then valued at as much as US$400 million.

That additional element, the ownership piece, and Berkshire’s willingness to align its interests directly alongside those of the company’s existing shareholders ultimately served to restore investor confidence in the company.

After all, if Buffett was willing to be an owner, why wouldn’t anyone else want to be?

Between May and June of 2017, HCG stock would go on to rally from its intraday low just pennies north of $5 per share to new highs of more than $20 per share.

Since then the stock has worked to find support trading often between the mid-to-high teens, as the company’s leadership team under the direction of new CEO Yousry Bissada, works diligently to regain its footing and to restore its credibility as a trusted alternative lending institution.

Ironically, one of the most volatile periods to hit HCG stock since the Berkshire bailout came late last year in December, when Buffett announced that BRK was planning to “substantially exit” its position in Home Capital.

As part of the original rescue deal, Buffett had negotiated an option whereby he would be entitled to increase his ownership stake from the original 19.9% up to 38.4%.

But when it came to a vote in September of later that year, HCG shareholders voted against granting Buffett the additional stake because of the dilutive impact it would have had on their existing ownership positions.

Foolish bottom line

Despite that the Buffett-Home Capital marriage only ended up lasting a grand total of less than two years, it would still be difficult to argue both parties aren’t better off today for having been party to it.

Buffett and BRK, of course, walked away with their line of credit paid back in full in addition to a tidy return on Berkshire’s short-lived equity stake in the company.

Meanwhile, Home Capital has enjoyed the benefit of having its investor confidence restored while continuing to make progress, even in the time since Buffett’s departure, including year-over-year growth in mortgage loan originations, deposits, and net income during the first quarter.

Yet even despite its progress, HCG shares continue to trade below their reported tangible book value, making this an interesting investment idea should the Canadian housing market continue to display strength.

Should you invest $1,000 in goeasy right now?

Before you buy stock in goeasy, consider this:

The Motley Fool Stock Advisor Canada analyst team just identified what they believe are the Top Stocks for 2025 and Beyond for investors to buy now… and goeasy wasn’t one of them. The Top Stocks that made the cut could potentially produce monster returns in the coming years.

Consider MercadoLibre, which we first recommended on January 8, 2014 ... if you invested $1,000 in the “eBay of Latin America” at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $21,345.77!*

Stock Advisor Canada provides investors with an easy-to-follow blueprint for success, including guidance on building a portfolio, regular updates from analysts, and two new stock picks each month – one from Canada and one from the U.S. The Stock Advisor Canada service has outperformed the return of S&P/TSX Composite Index by 24 percentage points since 2013*.

See the Top Stocks * Returns as of 4/21/25

This article represents the opinion of the writer, who may disagree with the “official” recommendation position of a Motley Fool premium service or advisor. We’re Motley! Questioning an investing thesis — even one of our own — helps us all think critically about investing and make decisions that help us become smarter, happier, and richer, so we sometimes publish articles that may not be in line with recommendations, rankings or other content.

Fool contributor Jason Phillips has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool owns shares of Berkshire Hathaway (B shares).

Confidently Navigate Market Volatility: Claim Your Free Report!

Feeling uneasy about the ups and downs of the stock market lately? You’re not alone. At The Motley Fool Canada, we get it — and we’re here to help. We’ve crafted an essential guide designed to help you through these uncertain times: "5-Step Checklist: How to Prepare Your Portfolio for Volatility."

Don't miss out on this opportunity for peace of mind. Just click below to learn how to receive your complimentary report today!

Get Our Free Report Today

More on Bank Stocks

woman looks out at horizon
Bank Stocks

This Canadian Bank Stock Down 14% is an Income Investor’s Dream

Scotiabank’s short-term stumbles have opened a window of opportunity for income investors to collect a juicy dividend.

Read more »

3 colorful arrows racing straight up on a black background.
Bank Stocks

I’d Put $7,000 in This TSX Stock Before it Explodes Higher

Are you looking for a superb stock that can provide decades of income growth? This TSX stock screams opportunity right…

Read more »

An investor uses a tablet
Bank Stocks

Where Will TD Bank Be in 2 Years?

TD stock has come under scrutiny over the last few years, but does the future look brighter?

Read more »

open vault at bank
Stocks for Beginners

Where Will Royal Bank Stock Be in 2 Years?

Royal Bank stock has long been a top stock, but can that last over the next two years?

Read more »

grow money, wealth build
Dividend Stocks

Here’s How Many Shares of Scotiabank Stock You Should Own for $2,000 in Annual Dividends

Scotiabank stock remains a top stock for dividends, so here's how much investors would pay for a $2,000 income stream.

Read more »

a man celebrates his good fortune with a disco ball and confetti
Stocks for Beginners

Where Will Royal Bank of Canada Be in 5 Years?

Royal Bank stock remains one of the top stocks on the market today – and still the largest by market…

Read more »

calculate and analyze stock
Bank Stocks

TD Bank: Buy, Sell, or Hold in 2025?

TD stock has been around for almost 100 years! Yet the last year hasn't been the best example of greatness.

Read more »

analyze data
Bank Stocks

Here’s Exactly How Many Shares of TD Bank You’d Need for $5,000 in Annual Dividends

You needn't invest a whole lot to get $5,000 in dividend income from Toronto-Dominion Bank (TSX:TD) stock.

Read more »