Investors: Do You Need to Be Worried About Shopify (TSX:SHOP)?

Will Shopify Inc. (TSX:SHOP)(NYSE:SHOP) stock continue to move lower in the coming months?

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s premium investing services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Shares of Canada’s high-growth tech company, Shopify (TSX:SHOP)(NYSE:SHOP) has taken a beating in the last few days. The stock fell 6.2% yesterday and has slumped over 18% since August 27, 2019.

Do investors need to be worried? Will the stock decline further as 2019 comes to a close, or will it rebound yet again? Let’s have a look at how Shopify has bounced back from previous corrections.

Shopify shares fell from $49 in July 2015 to $34 in September 2015 — a decline of 30.6%. The stock then recovered to $48 in October 2015 before falling 44% to $27 in February 2016. Shopify shares gained enough steam in the next two years and reached $192 per share in March 2018.

Shares fell 23% to $148 in April 2018. Shopify stock then fell from $225 in July 2018 to $166.39 in December last year — a decline of 26%. Shopify’s massive corrections have been between 23% and 44% since its IPO back in May 2015.

Shopify was trading at a premium

The last two days have seen overvalued tech stocks correct significantly. Shopify was trading at a premium and was expensive. Shopify is valued at $38.5 billion, or 25 times 2019 sales. Despite the recent pullback, Shopify shares have gained an incredible 1,167% since its IPO.

Though the stock is trading 18.5% below its 52-week high, it has surged 137% year to date and might decline in the coming weeks. Though Shopify is trading 7.4% below its 12-month average trading price, investors would be advised to exercise caution on the stock.

I had advised investors to refrain from buying Shopify earlier this month, citing the company’s high valuation.

Shopify announces the acquisition of 6 River Systems for $450 million

Shopify stock was also impacted as the company announced the acquisition of 6 River Systems for $450 million. 6 River Systems is a leading player in the collaborative warehouse fulfillment segment. Shopify had earlier announced its intention to pump money and set up fulfillment centres to enable timely delivery of products, lower shipping costs, and robust customer experience.

The 6 River Systems acquisition is set to complement Shopify’s expansion plans. Shopify will look to leverage 6 River’s solutions in fulfillment software and robotics. According to Shopify’s press release, the company will integrate 6 River’s software and collaborative mobile robots to its own fulfillment network. This will help increase the efficiency of warehouse operations by empowering employees with tasks such as inventory replenishment, sorting, and packing.

Shopify’s CEO Tobi Lutke stated, “Shopify is taking on fulfillment the same way we’ve approached other commerce challenges, by bringing together the best technology to help everyone compete. With 6 River Systems, we will bring technology and operational efficiencies to companies of all sizes around the world.”

Shopify ended the June quarter with $2 billion in cash, which is more than enough to fund this acquisition. But the acquisition will not be an all-cash transaction.

It will consist of 60% in cash (around $270 million) and 40% in Shopify Class A Subordinate Voting Shares. The deal will be closed in the fourth quarter of 2019 and will have no material impact on Shopify sales this year. But Shopify’s expenses will rise by $25 million due to the acquisition.

Investors need to keep an eye on Shopify and buy it at every major dip. The company still has solid growth potential and will always trade at a premium.

Should you invest $1,000 in Shopify right now?

Before you buy stock in Shopify, consider this:

The Motley Fool Stock Advisor Canada analyst team just identified what they believe are the Top Stocks for 2025 and Beyond for investors to buy now… and Shopify wasn’t one of them. The Top Stocks that made the cut could potentially produce monster returns in the coming years.

Consider MercadoLibre, which we first recommended on January 8, 2014 ... if you invested $1,000 in the “eBay of Latin America” at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $20,697.16!*

Stock Advisor Canada provides investors with an easy-to-follow blueprint for success, including guidance on building a portfolio, regular updates from analysts, and two new stock picks each month – one from Canada and one from the U.S. The Stock Advisor Canada service has outperformed the return of S&P/TSX Composite Index by 29 percentage points since 2013*.

See the Top Stocks * Returns as of 3/20/25

This article represents the opinion of the writer, who may disagree with the “official” recommendation position of a Motley Fool premium service or advisor. We’re Motley! Questioning an investing thesis — even one of our own — helps us all think critically about investing and make decisions that help us become smarter, happier, and richer, so we sometimes publish articles that may not be in line with recommendations, rankings or other content.

Tom Gardner owns shares of Shopify. The Motley Fool owns shares of Shopify and Shopify. Fool contributor Aditya Raghunath has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. Shopify is a recommendation of Stock Advisor Canada.

Confidently Navigate Market Volatility: Claim Your Free Report!

Feeling uneasy about the ups and downs of the stock market lately? You’re not alone. At The Motley Fool Canada, we get it — and we’re here to help. We’ve crafted an essential guide designed to help you through these uncertain times: "5-Step Checklist: How to Prepare Your Portfolio for Volatility."

Don't miss out on this opportunity for peace of mind. Just click below to learn how to receive your complimentary report today!

Get Our Free Report Today

More on Tech Stocks

A microchip in a circuit board powers artificial intelligence.
Tech Stocks

The 1 Canadian Stock I’d Buy and Hold Forever for AI Exposure

This Canadian stock may not be the first you think of when hearing "AI stock," but it should be.

Read more »

stock research, analyze data
Tech Stocks

Seize the Dip: 2 Top TSX Stocks to Buy in April 2025

Shopify and Magellan are two top TSX stocks you can buy right now and generate outsized gains in the upcoming…

Read more »

sale discount best price
Tech Stocks

Mag 7 Stocks Are Massively on Sale, and Here’s the Biggest Bargain of Them All!

Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) stands out as a top Mag Seven stock for Canadian investors to buy amid tariff fears.

Read more »

calculate and analyze stock
Tech Stocks

Where Will BlackBerry Stock Be in 5 Years?

BlackBerry is a TSX tech stock that is positioned to underperform the broader markets in the near term. Let's see…

Read more »

data center server racks glow with light
Tech Stocks

Shopify vs. Constellation Software: Where I’d Allocate $8,000 for Tech Exposure

Shopify (TSX:SHOP) stock and another tech play look like bargains right now.

Read more »

Woman in private jet airplane
Tech Stocks

Billionaires Are Selling Tesla Stock and Buying This TSX Stock in Bulk

Tesla stock continues to be a majorly volatile stock, and this could be even better.

Read more »

Paper Canadian currency of various denominations
Tech Stocks

Top Canadian Value Stocks I’d Buy Today and Hold for +20 Years

Here's why undervalued Canadian stocks such as Docebo and Lululemon should be on your watchlist in 2025.

Read more »

Safety helmets and gloves hang from a rack on a mining site.
Tech Stocks

Where I’d Invest $300 in the TSX Today

A TSX stock with a leading-edge safety technology is a screaming buy today for its high-growth potential.

Read more »