Recession or Not: This Is the Best Long-Term Stock to Buy Today

The best strategy for long-term investors is to find companies with a diverse portfolio of high-quality assets such as Brookfield Infrastructure Partners (TSX:BIP.UN)(NYSE:BIP).

| More on:

Brookfield Infrastructure Partners (TSX:BIP.UN)(NYSE:BIP) is a globally diversified company that owns a portfolio of infrastructure assets constructed to generate sustainable and growing returns for the long term.

Brookfield hosted its investor day a few weeks ago, giving us insight into its updated operations.

It’s been one of the best-performing companies for investors the last decade. Since 2009, Brookfield has grown its per unit funds from operations (FFO) at a compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) of 18%. It’s also grown its dividend at a CAGR of roughly 11% in the same time frame.

This has translated to investors who would have seen a 10-year annualised total return of 25% vs. the TSX, which has an annualized return of just 7% over the same period. The diversification it offers to such high-quality assets around the world is what really makes it such a compelling investment.

Today, it has assets in North America, which make up 30% of cash flows, South America which does 25%, Europe does 20% Recession or Not: This Is the Best Long-Term Stock to Buy Todayand the Asia Pacific region does the remaining 25%.

Its assets are split into four main segments, its utilities assets do about 32% of cash flow, the transport assets do about 30%, energy does 25% and the data infrastructure companies account for 13% of cash flow.

The largest sub sector asset groups include regulated transmission, regulated distribution, rail, toll roads and natural gas midstream, and compose roughly 78% of the company’s total FFO.

Investors worried about an impeding recession should note that Brookfield has $3 billion in total liquidity and doesn’t have any significant debt maturing within the next five years. That, coupled with its debt to earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA) of roughly 4.25 times, gives Brookfield strong stability.

It’s also reassuring that the company has stated that despite bull market conditions that exist, it’s proceeding with caution by staying highly disciplined and making conservative decisions.

Brookfield is well aware of the impact a recession may have on its business, with its transportation business having the highest sensitivity. Apart from that, its other three divisions have nearly all of the cash flows contracted, which translates to 5% of the total portfolio being sensitive to recessions.

On the business development side of things, it’s been selling mature assets and recycling the capital into new projects with more growth potential.

It acquired a roughly $200 million stake in a New Zealand data distribution business; $500 million on a North American rail business; $150 million on a natural gas pipeline in North America and $400 million on an Indian telecom company so far this year.

The new acquisitions are expected to help drive FFO growth and should bring higher returns than the assets Brookfield sold to fund the acquisitions.

Its target for FFO growth of 6%-9% a year is pretty reasonable given that it sees increases to revenue from inflationary price increases in its contracts, in addition to the growth it will see in its non-contracted revenue.

Its dividend, which yields more than 4% with a target growth rate of 5%-9% annually, is ideal for passive-income investors looking for a growing yield backed by quality assets.

It warrants an investment today, as not only is it a high-quality company, but it’s trading for a discount to its past valuation and its utility peers, which it consistently outearns. Currently, its price to FFO is just 16.5 times earnings.

Brookfield will likely continue to be one of the best-performing companies into the foreseeable future, so picking up shares now for less than its historical valuation, seems like a prime opportunity to gain exposure to a portfolio of world-class assets.

Should you invest $1,000 in Brookfield Infrastructure Partners right now?

Before you buy stock in Brookfield Infrastructure Partners, consider this:

The Motley Fool Stock Advisor Canada analyst team just identified what they believe are the Top Stocks for 2025 and Beyond for investors to buy now… and Brookfield Infrastructure Partners wasn’t one of them. The Top Stocks that made the cut could potentially produce monster returns in the coming years.

Consider MercadoLibre, which we first recommended on January 8, 2014 ... if you invested $1,000 in the “eBay of Latin America” at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $21,345.77!*

Stock Advisor Canada provides investors with an easy-to-follow blueprint for success, including guidance on building a portfolio, regular updates from analysts, and two new stock picks each month – one from Canada and one from the U.S. The Stock Advisor Canada service has outperformed the return of S&P/TSX Composite Index by 24 percentage points since 2013*.

See the Top Stocks * Returns as of 4/21/25

This article represents the opinion of the writer, who may disagree with the “official” recommendation position of a Motley Fool premium service or advisor. We’re Motley! Questioning an investing thesis — even one of our own — helps us all think critically about investing and make decisions that help us become smarter, happier, and richer, so we sometimes publish articles that may not be in line with recommendations, rankings or other content.

Fool contributor Daniel Da Costa has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. Brookfield Infrastructure Partners is a recommendation of Stock Advisor Canada.

More on Dividend Stocks

A close up color image of a small green plant sprouting out of a pile of Canadian dollar coins "loonies."
Dividend Stocks

2 Canadian Dividend Knights Set to Boost Payouts in 2025

Blue-chip TSX dividend stocks such as Enbridge and TC Energy are positioned to grow their payouts again in 2025.

Read more »

think thought consider
Dividend Stocks

2 Top TSX Dividend All-Stars to Buy Now

These two Canadian dividend giants are the sort of dividend all-stars long-term investors want to own to create viable passive-income…

Read more »

Technology
Dividend Stocks

Invest $20,000 in This TSX Stock for $1,238.06 in Passive Income

If you're looking for dividends and long-term growth, this has to be the top choice for investors to consider.

Read more »

GettyImages-1394663007
Dividend Stocks

Recession Stocks Are Back: Consider Buying These Canadian Stocks in May

A recession may or may not come, but no matter what's ahead, investors can prepare with these Canadian stocks

Read more »

A plant grows from coins.
Dividend Stocks

TFSA Income: Invest $7,000 in This Dividend Stock for Decades of Growth

This stock has increased its dividend annually for five decades.

Read more »

A close up color image of a small green plant sprouting out of a pile of Canadian dollar coins "loonies."
Dividend Stocks

1 Magnificent Dividend-Growth Stock Down 16% to Buy and Hold for Decades

This company raised its dividend in each of the past 25 years.

Read more »

happy woman throws cash
Dividend Stocks

Where I’d Invest $3,200 in the TSX Today

TerraVest Industries is a top TSX stock that has delivered market-beating returns in the past two decades.

Read more »

Dividend Stocks

Boost Your Monthly Income With These 3 High-Yielding REITs

These three REITs are ideal for income-seeking investors, given their stable cash flows and healthy dividend yields.

Read more »