What Will Drive Aphria (TSX:APHA) Sales Higher by 150% in Fiscal 2020?

Is Aphria stock the safest bet for cannabis investors given its robust profit margins and growth prospects?

In this article, we looked at why Aphria (TSX:APHA)(NYSE:APHA) is one of the top cannabis stocks to buy for FY 2020. Its inventory balance is comparatively lower than peers. Aphria is also one of the few cannabis stocks to report an adjusted profit in the upcoming fiscal year. Further, analysts expect Aphria to increase sales by 149.2% to $591 million in fiscal 2020 (year ending in May).

But what will drive sales higher for the company? Aphria consists primarily of Aphria One, Aphria Diamond, and Broken Coast Cannabis. Aphria One is the company’s 1.1-million-square-foot greenhouse facility based out of Leamington.

Broken Coast is its wholly owned subsidiary acquired in February 2018. Broken Coast has an indoor cannabis production facility on Vancouver Island, provides Aphria with B.C. Bud, and is a leading cannabis brand in the premium segment.

Aphria Diamond is a 51%-majority-owned subsidiary in a joint venture with Double Diamond Farms. The company just received approval from Health Canada to operate its Aphria Diamond facility, which takes its total production space to 2.4 million square feet and annual production to 255,000 kg.

Focus on distribution

Aphria was one of the first licensed producers in Canada and has successfully been able to leverage the benefits of greenhouse cultivation and industrial-scale production to report a sustainable operating profit.

The company is now looking to create a robust distribution network to access the Canadian populace. Aphria has signed supply agreements with all provinces and the Yukon territory in Canada, giving it access to 99.8% of Canadians.

It signed an exclusive distribution agreement with Great North Distributors, which is a wholly owned subsidiary of Southern Glazer’s Wine & Spirits. This will give Aphria access to the latter’s sales force and channel expertise for product distribution across provinces.

Aphria also signed another agreement with We Grow BC, a Vancouver-based licensed producer of premium cannabis. Aphria will now be We Grow’s exclusive sales representative across Canada.

Huge opportunity in the U.S.

Similar to other cannabis companies, Aphria is also eyeing the huge market south of the border. Cannabis consumption is illegal at the federal level in the U.S., forcing operators to create cultivation and distribution in each state they are interested to participate in.

This makes them open multiple facilities, driving down profit margins significantly. The House of Representatives in the U.S. passed a bill legalizing marijuana last week. Though the approval of the bill will take time, it provides significant opportunities for cannabis players, including Aphria.

Aphria is also targeting expansion in international markets where there is an existing or emerging federal legal cannabis market. The company is primarily focused on the medical marijuana space and has operations and/or partnerships in Australia, Columbia, Denmark, Argentina, Germany, Italy, Malta, Lesotho, Paraguay, and Jamaica.

Aphria continues to seek out opportunities and create long-term shareholder value. It can identify partnership and investment opportunities and leverage the knowledge and expertise gained in the domestic cannabis market.

Aphria expects the total global market to reach $150 billion by 2025. It expects the medical marijuana market to reach $100 billion while the adult-use cannabis market might rise to $50 billion.

Aphria has a diversified product offering and is backed by solid marketing and research support. The stock is currently trading around 70% below record highs and might be a good opportunity for risk-oriented investors to consider it as part of their portfolios.

This article represents the opinion of the writer, who may disagree with the “official” recommendation position of a Motley Fool premium service or advisor. We’re Motley! Questioning an investing thesis — even one of our own — helps us all think critically about investing and make decisions that help us become smarter, happier, and richer, so we sometimes publish articles that may not be in line with recommendations, rankings or other content.

Fool contributor Aditya Raghunath has no position in any of the stocks mentioned.

More on Cannabis Stocks

Cannabis business and marijuana industry concept as the shadow of a dollar sign on a group of leaves
Cannabis Stocks

Should You Buy Canopy Growth Stock or Green Thumb Stock Today?

Let's dive into two cannabis giants, and which one may be the better pick for long-term investors.

Read more »

Farmer smiles near cannabis crop
Cannabis Stocks

Could Aurora Cannabis Stock Finally Recover by Year-End?

Down 99% from all-time highs, Aurora Cannabis stock is focused on improving profit margins and expanding sales of its medical…

Read more »

Farmer smiles near cannabis crop
Cannabis Stocks

Are Pot Stocks About to Surge Again? 

With pot stocks making big moves of late, many investors are now asking whether the cannabis sector is worth investing…

Read more »

Farmer smiles near cannabis crop
Cannabis Stocks

Can Pot Stocks Aurora Cannabis and Canopy Growth Bounce Back in Q4?

Down over 99% from all-time highs, Canadian pot stocks such as Aurora Cannabis and Canopy Growth remain high-risk bets.

Read more »

Worker tags plants at an industrial cannabis operation
Cannabis Stocks

Can Canopy Growth Stock Finally Recover in 2024?

Down 98% from all-time highs, Canopy Growth remains a high-risk investment in 2024 given its weak fundamentals.

Read more »

Tech Stocks

3 No-Brainer Stocks to Buy With $20 Right Now

These three stocks are easy buys for those who don't have all that much to spend, and want long-term growth…

Read more »

Pot stocks are a riskier investment
Cannabis Stocks

Slow Burn: Is Aurora Cannabis Finally a Good Buy in June?

One of the benefits of choosing from some of the most beaten-down market segments like cannabis is that even a…

Read more »

Caution, careful
Cannabis Stocks

I Wouldn’t Touch This TSX Stock With a 60-Foot Pole

I wouldn't touch Canopy Growth Corp (TSX:WEED) stock with a 60-foot pole.

Read more »