Canadians: This 1 Stock Could Gain 922%!

Dorel Industries Inc. will see a material drop in its share price during a recession. Should you add it to your TFSA or RRSP?

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s premium investing services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Dorel (TSX:DII.B)(TSX:DII.A) is a global consumer products company that designs, manufactures or sources, markets and distributes products through its Dorel Home, Dorel Juvenile and Dorel Sports segments. The company’s primary markets are the United States, Europe, Latin America, Canada and Asia.

The company reports a market capitalization of $188 million with a 52-week high of $18.45 and a 52-week low of $4.65.

Intrinsic price

Based on my calculations using a discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation model, I determined that Dorel has an intrinsic value of $57.82 per share. Assuming less than average industry growth, the intrinsic value would be $50.26 per share and higher than average industry growth would result in an intrinsic value of $67.78 per share.

At the current share price of $5.66 at writing, I believe Dorel is significantly undervalued. Investors looking to add a home furnishing and juvenile products manufacturer to their portfolio should look into buying shares of Dorel.

Given that Dorel manufactures non-necessities, I would recommend waiting for the next recession to pan out before buying in as investors will be able to buy the shares at a better price.

Dorel has an enterprise value of $2.4 billion, representing the theoretical price a buyer would pay for all of Dorel’s outstanding shares plus its debt. One of the concerning things about Dorel is its high leverage with debt at 72.6% of total capital versus equity at 27.4% of total capital.

Financial highlights

For the nine months ended September 30, 2019, the company reports a strong balance sheet with retained earnings of US$395 million. This is a good sign for investors, as it suggests net income realized by the company over the years have been reinvested in the company to fuel growth.

The company finished the period with US$29 million in cash compared to US$104 million in short-term debt obligations. Given the company’s revolving bank loans and credit facilities, I am not overly concerned about the shortage of cash to cover short-term obligations.

That said, this situation reinforces the fact the company is highly leveraged, which could be expensive when the cost of borrowing increases.

Looking at the company’s cash flow statement, senior management acknowledges this issue, as indicated by its repayment of long-term debt in the amount of US$139 million in 2019 and US$25 million in 2018. The debt repayments are offset by a US$127 million draw on the long-term facilities in 2019, and US$9 million draw in 2018.

Overall revenues are up slightly from US$1.936 billion in 2018 to US$1.981 billion in 2019 (+2.3%). Given managements’ commitment to increasing operational efficiency, the operating profit increased significantly to US$36 million from US$24 million in 2018. Net loss of US$10 million, compared to US$445,000 in 2018.

One of the reasons why its share price has been punished in recent years is the high amounts of debt. I would like to see senior management continue its efforts to reduce long-term debt. Given this strategy, I believe its share price will appreciate dramatically.

Foolish takeaway

Investors looking to buy shares of a home furnishing and juvenile products company should add Dorel to their watch list. The company reports a solid balance sheet with positive retained earnings coupled with increasing revenues.

The biggest red flag for me is the company’s debt, which represents 72.6% of its total capital compared to equity at 27.4%. If management is able to reduce its debt (which frees up a lot of cash currently dedicated to interest payments), then it is the intrinsic price of $57.82 will likely be realized.

Should you invest $1,000 in Dorel Industries Inc. right now?

Before you buy stock in Dorel Industries Inc., consider this:

The Motley Fool Stock Advisor Canada analyst team just identified what they believe are the Top Stocks for 2025 and Beyond for investors to buy now… and Dorel Industries Inc. wasn’t one of them. The Top Stocks that made the cut could potentially produce monster returns in the coming years.

Consider MercadoLibre, which we first recommended on January 8, 2014 ... if you invested $1,000 in the “eBay of Latin America” at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $20,697.16!*

Stock Advisor Canada provides investors with an easy-to-follow blueprint for success, including guidance on building a portfolio, regular updates from analysts, and two new stock picks each month – one from Canada and one from the U.S. The Stock Advisor Canada service has outperformed the return of S&P/TSX Composite Index by 29 percentage points since 2013*.

See the Top Stocks * Returns as of 3/20/25

This article represents the opinion of the writer, who may disagree with the “official” recommendation position of a Motley Fool premium service or advisor. We’re Motley! Questioning an investing thesis — even one of our own — helps us all think critically about investing and make decisions that help us become smarter, happier, and richer, so we sometimes publish articles that may not be in line with recommendations, rankings or other content.

Fool contributor Chen Liu has no position in any of the stocks mentioned.

Confidently Navigate Market Volatility: Claim Your Free Report!

Feeling uneasy about the ups and downs of the stock market lately? You’re not alone. At The Motley Fool Canada, we get it — and we’re here to help. We’ve crafted an essential guide designed to help you through these uncertain times: "5-Step Checklist: How to Prepare Your Portfolio for Volatility."

Don't miss out on this opportunity for peace of mind. Just click below to learn how to receive your complimentary report today!

Get Our Free Report Today

More on Investing

gaming, tech
Dividend Stocks

3 Top Communication Services Sector Stocks for Canadian Investors in 2025

Three communication services stocks are solid choices in 2025 if you want exposure to the rejuvenated sector.

Read more »

nugget gold
Dividend Stocks

Recession Stocks Are Back: Consider Buying the Dip This April

Recession stocks are back, and this one could be a solid winner.

Read more »

investor looks at volatility chart
Dividend Stocks

If You Have Cash on the Sidelines, Here’s Where to Invest in the Dip

If you have cash sitting on the sidelines, now may be the perfect time to put it to work in…

Read more »

Pumps await a car for fueling at a gas and diesel station.
Dividend Stocks

Where Will Alimentation Couche-Tard Stock Be in 3 Years?

Let's dive into why Alimentation Couche-Tard (TSX:ATD) remains a top value stock investors may want to consider buying and holding…

Read more »

Woman running in front of pack in marathon
Investing

Nike Stock Is Hitting Lows: Is It a Buy Now?

Nike (NYSE:NKE) could be a great value buy worth venturing south of the border for this April!

Read more »

TFSA (Tax free savings account) acronym on wooden cubes on the background of stacks of coins
Dividend Stocks

TFSA Investors: 2 High-Yield Dividend Stocks With Growing Payouts to Buy Today

Add these two TSX dividend stocks to your self-directed investment portfolio for high-yielding, reliable, and growing quarterly dividends.

Read more »

investor looks at volatility chart
Stocks for Beginners

Buy the Fear? Navigating the Current Market Dip

A market dip might seem like a scary thing, but it can also be a great time to buy top…

Read more »

bulb idea thinking
Dividend Stocks

Market Dip Gold Mine: Smart Money Moves Now

A market dip can be stressful, but it can also be a smart money opportunity.

Read more »