Warren Buffett just turned 90 last month. In his 75 plus years in the investing world, the Oracle of Omaha has become the third-richest man in the world. It’s no easy task to build a net worth of US$86 billion and grow it. Just last quarter, his company Berkshire Hathaway reported a net investment loss of US$54.5 billion during the March market crash. He was criticized by many analysts for some of his investment decisions, like buying airline stocks and avoiding tech stocks.
Everyone was waiting for Buffett to buy stocks, but he sold his airline and restaurant stocks and hoarded $137 billion cash. He always said that one should not keep too much liquidity, as its value will depreciate in the long term. In the search for value, he went international to Canada and Japan.
Buffett’s surprise birthday buys
In August, Buffett made several changes to Berkshire Hathaway’s portfolio, which is worth $202 billion.
- The company increased its stake in Bank of America by $340 million.
- It bought a $600 million stake in Canada’s gold mining giant Barrick Gold (TSX:ABX)(NYSE:GOLD).
- The company also lowered its stakes in big banks such as Wells Fargo and JPMorgan and exited Goldman Sachs.
- Just recently, Buffett’s company bought more than $6 billion worth of stakes in six Japanese trading houses.
Buffett’s gold investment came as a surprise, as he has been critical about the precious metal. He always preferred investing in businesses and real estate over gold. Some analysts interpreted his actions as his bet against America, while some interpreted it as investing in stocks with an attractive valuation. There is a high possibility that this wasn’t Buffett’s decision but that of his lieutenants.
Should you follow Buffett and buy into gold?
I prefer investing in businesses over gold and silver. Barrick Gold has high exposure to gold prices. Gold price rises when the economy is under crisis, as investors use the yellow metal to hedge against inflation and stock market volatility.
The world governments have released huge financial aid, which is significantly increasing their fiscal deficit. Hence, it comes as no surprise that gold stocks surged after the March crash. Barrick Gold stock surged by 75% to its eight-year high of $38. The gold price has surpassed its 10-year high, with one ounce of gold costing $2,622.
However, many experts believe there is a gold bubble. Back in the 2009 Financial Crisis, gold prices started to rise during the economic recovery between 2009 and 2011. However, the gold prices fell after 2011, as the economy recovered to the pre-crisis level. Hence, those who invested in gold stocks at the 2011 peak are still out of money.
The gold stocks have once again reached the 2011-2012 level. It is difficult to say when the rally will end. But it could hedge you from another market crash. I would not suggest you invest a large sum in gold stocks. But you can invest some money in them to benefit from the current rally. Buffett invested less than 5% of the total cash reserve of Berkshire Hathaway in Barrick Gold to diversify his risk.
Investor corner
Warren Buffett’s recent buys show that he is preparing for another market crash. He is buying defensive stocks to hedge against another sell-off and is offloading stocks that are severely hit by the pandemic.
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The pandemic has reduced oil demand and also Enbridge’s stock price, thereby inflating its dividend yield to 7.7%. This is a good opportunity to lock in a high dividend yield for a lifetime. As the economy recovers and oil demand rises, the stock price will surge.