Worried About Canada’s Housing Market Crash? Here’s Some Advice

The surging demand for single-family homes in suburban markets has pushed housing prices up, leading some experts to fear a housing market crash.

For the third year in a row, Toronto has been named one of the cities most at risk of a residential real estate bubble, according to a report released last week by UBS.

The surging demand for single-family homes in suburban markets has pushed prices in the Greater Toronto Area (GTA) up significantly, noted UBS. Toronto ranked only behind Munich and Frankfurt in the latest edition of the firm’s Global Real Estate Bubble Index.

Home prices surge across Canada

According to data released by the Toronto Regional Real Estate Board (TRREB), the average selling price across the GTA rose 20% year over year in August to $951,404. Gains were most substantial in the detached property market, with the average selling price up nearly 20% to almost $1.2 million.

And it’s not just the GTA that is experiencing a red-hot housing market. According to a projection from brokerage Royal LePage, the median home price in Canada is expected to reach $693,000 by the end of the year. This represents a 7% increase from the end of 2019. Over the last three months, 97% of regions throughout Canada reported higher home prices, Royal LePage said.

Worried about a housing market crash?

What should you do if you are concerned about a crash in Canada’s housing market?

The first thing to do is not to panic. Even as these reports warning of an eminent crash emerged, some experts see no reason to fear a crash.

In a recent interview with BNN Bloomberg, Stephen Poloz, the former Governor of the Bank of Canada, shared his thoughts on the state of Canada’s housing market.

Poloz believes we are in the midst of a “K-shaped” recovery. The top part of the “K,” which represents 95% of the economy, has recovered well from the pandemic. The bottom of the “K,” denotes the other 5% of the economy. This includes airlines, tourism, retail, and hospitality. These industries incurred the greatest damage during COVID-19 and continue to struggle.

Regarding the soaring home prices, Poloz believes that the momentum can be sustained. He said there is “a certain amount of heat in the housing market — with pent-up demand, combined with low interest rates and the government’s support of incomes.” Poloz continued, “We have just as good a chance of the market continuing to rise as going in the other direction.”

The bottom line

No one knows if Canada’s housing market will continue to surge or if it will come crashing down.

Regardless of the outcome, it is smart to invest in a well-balanced portfolio of assets in different industries. Some of these investments should be focused on stocks that show resilience if a housing crash and an economic downturn does occur.

Consider a stock like Alimentation Couche-Tard (TSX:ATD.B), a multi-national convenience store operator, which operates over 14,000 stores. The stock has returned over 1,050% in the last decade.

The company boasts a solid balance sheet, which allows Couche-Tard to pursue an aggressive acquisition strategy. Since 2004, the company has acquired 60 companies, adding approximately 10,200 stores.

In the company’s first-quarter earnings release, Couche-Tard generated US$1.35 billion from its operating activities to increase its cash and cash equivalents to US$3.27 billion. With access to a credit facility of US$2.5 billion, the company liquidity stands at US$5.8 billion, giving the company plenty of cash to continue its acquisition strategy.

This article represents the opinion of the writer, who may disagree with the “official” recommendation position of a Motley Fool premium service or advisor. We’re Motley! Questioning an investing thesis — even one of our own — helps us all think critically about investing and make decisions that help us become smarter, happier, and richer, so we sometimes publish articles that may not be in line with recommendations, rankings or other content.

Fool contributor Cindy Dye has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool recommends ALIMENTATION COUCHE-TARD INC.

More on Top TSX Stocks

bulb idea thinking
Dividend Stocks

Is Fortis Stock a Buy for Its 4% Dividend Yield?

Want a great long-term stock with defensive appeal and a tasty dividend yield? Fortis(TSX:FTS) has all that and more.

Read more »

Canada Day fireworks over two Adirondack chairs on the wooden dock in Ontario, Canada
Top TSX Stocks

Top Canadian Stocks to Buy Right Now With $7,000

Discover two shining stars among the top TSX stocks of 2024. Hammond Power Solutions (TSX:HPS.A) and one glittering gold stock…

Read more »

happy woman throws cash
Tech Stocks

2 Stocks That Have Created Millionaires, and May Continue to Do so

Unlock the secrets of millionaire-maker stocks and start building your fortune today. goeasy (TSX:GSY) and another TSX stock remain great…

Read more »

Tractor spraying a field of wheat
Top TSX Stocks

5 Top Stocks to Buy in October [PREMIUM PICKS]

Here are five hand-picked stocks the team at Motley Fool Canada thinks are particularly smart investments this month.

Read more »

A train passes Morant's curve in Banff National Park in the Canadian Rockies.
Top TSX Stocks

The 3 Best Stocks to Buy in Canada Right Now for the Long Haul

Looking for some "forever" stocks? Consider these for growth potential and their dividends.

Read more »

Top TSX Stocks

The Best Canadian Stocks to Buy With $7,000 Right Now

Want some of the best Canadian stocks to buy for your portfolio? Here's a trio that can provide growth and…

Read more »

A plant grows from coins.
Stocks for Beginners

Create a Pension Passive-Income Stream With This TSX Stock

Want to build a passive-income stream? This one stock can provide a monthly distribution and stellar growth potential that you…

Read more »

Top TSX Stocks

Here Are My Top 4 TSX Stocks to Buy Right Now

TSX stocks like Cineplex and Tourmaline Oil remain attractively valued with good prospects ahead, making them among my top picks…

Read more »