A Contrarian Investor’s Dream: This Turnaround Stock Has Soared 133% So Far in 2020

Once a struggling TSX stock until last year, AutoCanada (TSX:ACQ) stock has made a spectacular recovery to return 133% so far this year, even during the COVID-19 pandemic.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s premium investing services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Exactly a year ago, AutoCanada (TSX:ACQ) stock seemed to have bottomed out. Unfortunately, an unanticipated COVID-19 crisis came four months later and dictated a much lower bottom on ACQ. Even so, the company’s earlier strategic recovery plan, and tactical survival plans during the pandemic allowed AutoCanada stock to emerge a big winner among TSX stocks this year with a 133% return so far this year.

Why did AutoCanada stock rise 133% this year?

AutoCanada is Canada’s only publicly listed auto dealership firm that is emerging as a powerhouse in the country’s $246 billion market.

It was once on the brink of collapse after years of poor performance, high leverage, and a bloated cost structure. ACQ emerged as a better company after management implemented a Go Forward Plan in 2018 to revive the business’ ailing fortunes.

The plan involved non-core asset sales, disposals of non-performing car dealerships, the optimization of its Finance and Insurance (F&I) and collision repair divisions as well as the creation of a used car wholesale and special finance business lines. The revamped F&I and collision repair segments generate about 20% of total revenue but contribute about 70% to gross profit.

ACQ’s strategic plan has worked wonders since implementation. The company has outperformed the Canadian new vehicle sales market by significant margins over the past seven consecutive quarters. AutoCanada is consistently gaining market share from peers and it’s doing so very fast. Even better, the new and used vehicle sales division is enjoying double-digit sales growth rates with a 22.8% year-over-year growth experienced during the third quarter of this year. The company’s market share in both new vehicles and used vehicle markets remains around 2%. There’s still more room to expand in the fragmented market.

Investors have witnessed consistent improvement at ACQ. Recent cost-cutting and cash-management initiatives during the COVID-19 pandemic yielded positive results, too.

ACQ’s impressive third-quarter results

AutoCanada third quarter 2020 results highlights
Source: AutoCanada Q3 2020 Earnings Release.

Quarterly revenue at $1.02 billion was a new record. The company had never invoiced a billion dollars within just three months before. Margins continue to expand, and profits grew strong. Leverage has declined with increased positive cash flow generation and debt repayment. Debt maturities have been extended from 13 months by February 2020 to four years. AutoCanada’s balance sheet has been significantly strengthened over the past few months, and its income statement is doing great given an 87% annual growth in adjusted EBITDA during the past quarter.

ACQ’s stock price has justifiably more than doubled this year.

Foolish bottom line

Undoubtedly, ACQ’s fundamentals have improved since I last covered the auto dealership stock in November 2019. The company is more profitable, and the balance sheet is healthier. Its latest acquisitions concluded during the fourth quarter of 2020 seem accretive, too. This includes the recent acquisitions of Auto Bugatti in Canada and Autohaus Peoria in Illinois. The Autohaus transaction enhances geographic diversification and establishes a new relationship with a new luxury brand Porsche.

The company could enjoy a first-mover advantage through launching online stores for used cars in Canada. Similar used vehicle online stores like the Japanese BeForward.jp have taken emerging markets by storm.

It’s every contrarian investor’s dream to pick up cheap shares in a troubled stock right when they are bottoming out. Contrarian investors who scooped AutoCanada stock as it bottomed out in 2019 have enjoyed good returns this year. An unprecedented pandemic couldn’t overpower the strong recovery momentum after a business reset.

Should you invest $1,000 in Autocanada Inc. right now?

Before you buy stock in Autocanada Inc., consider this:

The Motley Fool Stock Advisor Canada analyst team just identified what they believe are the Top Stocks for 2025 and Beyond for investors to buy now… and Autocanada Inc. wasn’t one of them. The Top Stocks that made the cut could potentially produce monster returns in the coming years.

Consider MercadoLibre, which we first recommended on January 8, 2014 ... if you invested $1,000 in the “eBay of Latin America” at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $20,697.16!*

Stock Advisor Canada provides investors with an easy-to-follow blueprint for success, including guidance on building a portfolio, regular updates from analysts, and two new stock picks each month – one from Canada and one from the U.S. The Stock Advisor Canada service has outperformed the return of S&P/TSX Composite Index by 29 percentage points since 2013*.

See the Top Stocks * Returns as of 3/20/25

This article represents the opinion of the writer, who may disagree with the “official” recommendation position of a Motley Fool premium service or advisor. We’re Motley! Questioning an investing thesis — even one of our own — helps us all think critically about investing and make decisions that help us become smarter, happier, and richer, so we sometimes publish articles that may not be in line with recommendations, rankings or other content.

Fool contributor Brian Paradza has no position in any of the stocks mentioned.

Confidently Navigate Market Volatility: Claim Your Free Report!

Feeling uneasy about the ups and downs of the stock market lately? You’re not alone. At The Motley Fool Canada, we get it — and we’re here to help. We’ve crafted an essential guide designed to help you through these uncertain times: "5-Step Checklist: How to Prepare Your Portfolio for Volatility."

Don't miss out on this opportunity for peace of mind. Just click below to learn how to receive your complimentary report today!

Get Our Free Report Today

More on Investing

A woman shops in a grocery store while pushing a stroller with a child
Dividend Stocks

Dip Buyers Could Win Big in Today’s Market Dip

If you want to buy the dip, think long-term. Which is why this TSX stock is a top option.

Read more »

Energy Stocks

Is Enbridge Stock (TSX:ENB) a Buy for its 5.9% Dividend Yield?

This solid dividend payer has the potential to help investors generate reliable passive income for decades.

Read more »

The letters AI glowing on a circuit board processor.
Tech Stocks

If I Could Only Buy and Hold a Single U.S. Stock, This Would Be It

You don’t need 40 different stocks to build wealth. A few good ones can boost your portfolio, and this U.S.…

Read more »

chart reflected in eyeglass lenses
Stocks for Beginners

Seize the Dip: Investment Opportunities Await This April

If you're looking for one and only one opportunity during a market dip, buy this top stock.

Read more »

gaming, tech
Dividend Stocks

3 Top Communication Services Sector Stocks for Canadian Investors in 2025

Three communication services stocks are solid choices in 2025 if you want exposure to the rejuvenated sector.

Read more »

nugget gold
Dividend Stocks

Recession Stocks Are Back: Consider Buying the Dip This April

Recession stocks are back, and this one could be a solid winner.

Read more »

investor looks at volatility chart
Dividend Stocks

If You Have Cash on the Sidelines, Here’s Where to Invest in the Dip

If you have cash sitting on the sidelines, now may be the perfect time to put it to work in…

Read more »

Pumps await a car for fueling at a gas and diesel station.
Dividend Stocks

Where Will Alimentation Couche-Tard Stock Be in 3 Years?

Let's dive into why Alimentation Couche-Tard (TSX:ATD) remains a top value stock investors may want to consider buying and holding…

Read more »