Should You Buy Air Canada or Enbridge Stock Today?

Air Canada (TSX:AC) and Enbridge (TSX:ENB)(NYSE:ENB) are both reopening plays that can make you rich, but which is a better buy?

| More on:

Air Canada (TSX:AC) and Enbridge (TSX:ENB)(NYSE:ENB) are two of the most popular TSX stocks with Canadian investors. Both names have been beaten-down at the hands of the coronavirus crisis over the past year. But which, if any, is the superior bet as we march closer to the end of the pandemic?

Let’s have a closer look at each contrarian play to see which, if any, is the better buy at today’s market crossroads.

Air Canada

Air Canada recently got another round of financial support from the government of Canada. As a part of the deal, the federal government will take a $500 million stake in AC stock at around $23. With the airline continuing to bleed cash amid this third wave of cases, the airline faces a brutal spring. And if the vaccine rollout doesn’t accelerate, Air Canada could run the risk of missing out on peak summer travel season.

While I do think investors should look to score a better cost basis than Ottawa in shares of Air Canada (perhaps in the $18-20 range), I wouldn’t encourage investors to back up the truck at any moment. The name is going to continue being volatile for the duration of this pandemic. And the big post-pandemic pay-off that investors are expecting will likely be far more modest in nature. That means Air Canada stock ought to be viewed as less of a potential multi-bagger and more of a slow and steady long-term recovery play.

While Air Canada is bleeding ample amounts of cash, Ottawa will be there to pick up the airline should it fall again, with another round of fresh financial relief. I’ve said it before, and I’ll say it again: Air Canada is too vital a business for the nation to let fail. As such, even if the pandemic drags on for another year or more, I think the odds of Air Canada falling to $0 is zero.

The Street high estimate on Air Canada stock is $41 and change, representing a whopping 66% worth of upside from current levels. If you’ve got the stomach and the pain tolerance, only then would I initiate a position today.

Enbridge

Enbridge is a former dividend darling that’s starting to wake up, thanks in part to the recent strength in oil prices. WTI and WCS are making a huge comeback, and with thoughts of US$100 West Texas Intermediate and a continued favouring of the value trade, I think Enbridge is one of the few midstream high-yield dividend stocks out there that’s too cheap to ignore.

The 7.1%-yielding dividend is stretched, but the light at the end of the tunnel is bright. Moreover, the incredibly shareholder-friendly management team seems as confident as ever. Otherwise, it wouldn’t have hiked its dividend by a modest amount amid coronavirus headwinds.

I view the pressure facing Enbridge and the fossil fuel sector as temporary. On the other side of this pandemic, we could witness an abrupt uptick in energy demand. As the value trade heats up again, Enbridge is a name I’d put atop my shopping list.

With clean energy, EVs, and ambitious carbon reduction goals, fossil fuel stocks across the entire stream are unsexy. But there’s no denying the cash flows and dividend growth potential of Enbridge and its resilient peers. I think there’s some pretty deep value to be had, and the dividend should be more than enough incentive to hang in there for better times.

AC or ENB stock: Better buy?

I think Enbridge stock is the better buy at these levels. The dividend is rich, and it’s likely to grow at an above-average rate moving forward. Air Canada seems too reliant on government support, and its next round of relief could come with strings attached.

This article represents the opinion of the writer, who may disagree with the “official” recommendation position of a Motley Fool premium service or advisor. We’re Motley! Questioning an investing thesis — even one of our own — helps us all think critically about investing and make decisions that help us become smarter, happier, and richer, so we sometimes publish articles that may not be in line with recommendations, rankings or other content.

Fool contributor Joey Frenette has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool owns shares of and recommends Enbridge.

More on Investing

A data center engineer works on a laptop at a server farm.
Tech Stocks

3 No-Brainer Data Centre Stocks to Buy With $500 Right Now

Data centres are going to be a huge growth opportunity in the next decade. And these are the top buys.

Read more »

Paper Canadian currency of various denominations
Bank Stocks

1 Magnificent Canadian Dividend Stock Down 28% to Buy and Hold for Decades

This top Canadian dividend stock is underperforming its large peers this year, but a turnaround could be on the horizon.

Read more »

TFSA (Tax-Free Savings Account) on wooden blocks and Canadian one hundred dollar bills.
Dividend Stocks

Where to Invest Your $7,000 TFSA Contribution

The TFSA is attractive for investors who want to generate tax-free passive income.

Read more »

The TFSA is a powerful savings vehicle for Canadians who are saving for retirement.
Dividend Stocks

TFSA Investors: 3 Dividend Stocks Worth Holding Forever

These TSX stocks have the potential to grow their dividends over the next decade, making them top investments for TFSA…

Read more »

hand stacks coins
Investing

Secure a Wealthy Future With These 3 Canadian Stocks

These Canadian stocks have the potential to appreciate substantially over time and may also enhance returns through dividend payments.

Read more »

Tractor spraying a field of wheat
Dividend Stocks

Is Nutrien Stock a Buy for its Dividend Yield?

Nutrien is down more than 50% form the 2022 highs. Is NTR stock now oversold?

Read more »

analyze data
Investing

3 Blue-Chip Stocks Every Canadian Should Own

These blue-chip stocks are backed by large-cap companies with well-established businesses, solid fundamentals, and a growing earnings base.

Read more »

dividends grow over time
Stocks for Beginners

The Smartest Growth Stock to Buy With $2,000 Right Now

Do you have $2,000 to invest for the long term? These three TSX stocks have and will continue to deliver…

Read more »