3 Top Stocks for a Weaker Canadian Dollar

If the Canadian dollar slides then stocks like the Canadian National Railway (TSX:CNR)(NYSE:CNI) will look like huge bargains.

| More on:

The Canadian dollar has been trending downward this summer. After reaching a high of US$0.83 in May and June, it began to slide. Today the Canadian dollar is worth just US$0.8. That’s actually still pretty strong going by the last five years. There were periods in 2020 when the Canadian dollar was worth just US$0.68. After that low, the Canadian dollar rallied before resuming its downward slide.

Several reasons have been given to explain the weakness in the Canadian dollar. A recent slump in the price of oil is one (CDN is correlated with oil), increases in “safe haven demand” for USD is another.

Differences in monetary policy don’t seem to be the culprit. Canada’s central bank lending rate and 10-year bond yields are nearly the same as those of the U.S., the increase in the money stock are similar as well. So it looks like we’ve got the CAD falling on lower oil prices and higher demand for U.S. dollars.

Given this, it’s natural to wonder where to invest. You’ve probably heard that Canadian businesses make more money off exports when the Canadian dollar is weak. But in fact, there’s much more to this story than just exports. In this article, I’ll explore three stocks that make money off a weak Canadian dollar.

Alimentation Couche-Tard

Alimentation Couche-Tard (TSX:ATD.A)(TSX:ATD.B) is a Canadian gas station and convenience store company that operates over 9,000 Circle K stores in the U.S. and nearly 3,000 gas stations in Europe. It’s a Canadian company, but its U.S. operations are actually larger than its operations on its home turf. The lower the Canadian dollar goes, the more money ATD.B makes off its U.S./European gas stations and convenience stores.

In its most recent quarter, ATD.B achieved a 10.6% increase in diluted EPS, partially because of favourable currency exchange impacts. So this is definitely one company that makes more money in CAD terms when the U.S. dollar is weak.

The Toronto-Dominion Bank

The Toronto-Dominion Bank (TSX:TD)(NYSE:TD) is a Canadian bank involved in U.S. retail and brokerage operations. About a third of its revenue comes from the United States. The lower the Canadian dollar goes, the higher TD’s income is in Canadian dollar terms.

The effect is intensified whenever the U.S. retail bank or brokerage service reports higher than expected income. TD is widely perceived as one of Canada’s best banks because of its huge and growing U.S. presence. In the current quarter, it should get a boost from the lower Canadian dollar Forex rates that have been observed recently.

The Canadian National Railway

The Canadian National Railway (TSX:CNR)(NYSE:CNI) is a Canadian rail transportation company. It is perhaps the company on this list that makes the most money off a weaker Canadian dollar. Not only does its on-paper CAD revenue increase with a weak loonie, it actually makes more sales. A weak Canadian dollar actively increases demand for Canadian goods.

That can result in more goods being transported across the Canada-U.S. border–which increases CN’s revenue. For ATD.B and TD, the currency exchange impact of a weaker loonie is mostly a technicality, but CNR can make money off a weak loonie in PPP terms. So, this is one “weak Canadian dollar” play worth considering.

This article represents the opinion of the writer, who may disagree with the “official” recommendation position of a Motley Fool premium service or advisor. We’re Motley! Questioning an investing thesis — even one of our own — helps us all think critically about investing and make decisions that help us become smarter, happier, and richer, so we sometimes publish articles that may not be in line with recommendations, rankings or other content.

Fool contributor Andrew Button owns shares of Canadian National Railway and The Toronto-Dominion Bank. The Motley Fool owns shares of and recommends ALIMENTATION COUCHE-TARD INC. The Motley Fool recommends Canadian National Railway.

More on Dividend Stocks

Dividend Stocks

Top Canadian Stocks to Buy Right Now With $1,000

Investing in stocks is not about timing but consistency. If you have $1,000 to invest, these stocks offer an attractive…

Read more »

cloud computing
Dividend Stocks

Is Manulife Stock a Buy for its 3.5% Dividend Yield?

Manulife stock has been a long-time dividend winner, but the average has come down over the last few years. So…

Read more »

Person holds banknotes of Canadian dollars
Dividend Stocks

This 7.5% Dividend Stock Pays Cash Every Single Month

Monthly dividend income can be a saviour, but especially when it provides passive income like this!

Read more »

jar with coins and plant
Dividend Stocks

2 High-Yield Dividend Stocks You Can Buy and Hold for a Decade

These TSX stocks still offer attractive dividend yields.

Read more »

concept of real estate evaluation
Dividend Stocks

Invest $23,253 in This Stock for $110 in Monthly Passive Income

Dividend investors don’t need substantial capital to earn monthly passive income streams from an established dividend grower.

Read more »

Dividend Stocks

3 Mid-Cap Canadian Stocks That Offer Reliable Dividends

While blue-chip, large-cap stocks are the preferred choice for most conservative dividend investors, there are some solid picks in the…

Read more »

The letters AI glowing on a circuit board processor.
Dividend Stocks

Is OpenText Stock a Buy for Its 3.6% Dividend Yield?

OpenText stock has dropped 20% in the last year, yet now the company looks incredibly valuable, especially with a 3.6%…

Read more »

calculate and analyze stock
Dividend Stocks

How to Use Your TFSA to Earn $6,905.79 Per Year in Tax-Free Income

Put together a TFSA and this TSX stock, and you could create massive passive income from returns and dividends.

Read more »