What to Make of Baytex Stock Following Earnings

Is now the time for investors to continue to buy Baytex (TSX:BTE)(NYSE:BTE), or is this rally in oil overdone right now?

| More on:

Baytex Energy (TSX:BTE)(NYSE:BTE) is a Calgary-based gas and oil corporation that engages in the production, development, and acquisition of natural gas and crude oil in the Eagle Ford and the Western Canadian Sedimentary Basin. Roughly 82% of this company’s production is weighted toward natural gas liquids and crude oil.

In recent years, Baytex has been beaten down by the overall market. This stock fell to deep-value levels amid price plunges in energy with the onset of the pandemic.

Boy, how times have changed.

Let’s dive into the company’s recent Q4 earnings, and see if the picture has changed dramatically enough to entice investors.

Impressive Q4 earnings boost Baytex stock

This past quarter, Baytex was certainly not left out from the stream of impressive earnings in the Canadian oil patch. In fact, this company reported $563 million in earnings, or $1 per share. This is up from $0.06 per share in Q3 and $0.39 in the same quarter the year prior.

Those are some impressive growth rates.

Of course, rising oil and gas prices are responsible for this increase. The company’s highly leveraged balance sheet provides for such impressive earnings. In times like these, Baytex is a stock many seek out as a way to play rising oil prices.

However, Baytex’s value, which is derived from its leveraged balance sheet, works both ways. Continued investment is made difficult by these higher levels of leverage. Accordingly, the company announced that it’s cutting its net debt to $1.1 billion. That’s impressive and should boost annual free cash flows.

Baytax has stated it wants to return 25% of its free cash flow directly to shareholders. This has meant a share-buyback program that’s expected to start in Q2.

Overall, these solid numbers, along with rising production, position Baytex well for continued forward momentum from here.

Bottom line

The oil and gas sector is one that’s been very hard to invest in for decades. Indeed, the rise of renewable energy and a shift to electrification has hurt the thesis for this sector. Over the very long term, I expect this will be the case.

However, this ongoing Russia-Ukraine crisis has changed the math for this sector. Investors and governments are more concerned about energy security than ever before. For producers like Baytex, this is an advantageous position, to be sure.

Baytex’s improving fundamentals and strong earnings growth are likely to produce strong near-term tailwinds. Of course, the degree to which these are already priced in is up for the individual investor to assess. However, my view is that this company may see impressive strength for a considerable amount of time.

This article represents the opinion of the writer, who may disagree with the “official” recommendation position of a Motley Fool premium service or advisor. We’re Motley! Questioning an investing thesis — even one of our own — helps us all think critically about investing and make decisions that help us become smarter, happier, and richer, so we sometimes publish articles that may not be in line with recommendations, rankings or other content.

Fool contributor Chris MacDonald has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned.

More on Energy Stocks

engineer at wind farm
Energy Stocks

Invest $20,000 in This Dividend Stock for $100 in Monthly Passive Income

This dividend stock has it all – a strong outlook, monthly income, and even more to consider buying today.

Read more »

A worker overlooks an oil refinery plant.
Energy Stocks

Is Imperial Oil Stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold for 2025?

Valued at a market cap of $55 billion, Imperial Oil pays shareholders a growing dividend yield of 2.4%. Is the…

Read more »

Pumpjack in Alberta Canada
Energy Stocks

Where Will Imperial Oil Stock Be in 1 Year?

Imperial Oil is a TSX energy stock that has delivered market-thumping returns to shareholders over the last two decades.

Read more »

Pumpjack in Alberta Canada
Energy Stocks

1 Magnificent Energy Stock Down 17% to Buy and Hold Forever

Down over 17% from all-time highs, Headwater Exploration is a TSX energy stock that offers you a tasty dividend yield…

Read more »

Pumpjack in Alberta Canada
Energy Stocks

Is Cenovus Energy Stock a Good Buy?

Cenovus Energy (TSX:CVE) stock is primed for capital gains and strong total returns in 2025, driven by strategic buybacks and…

Read more »

Trans Alaska Pipeline with Autumn Colors
Energy Stocks

2 High-Yield Dividend Stocks That are Screaming Buys Right Now

Natural gas stocks like Peyto Exploration and Development are yielding above 7% today and look undervalued as natural gas strengthens.

Read more »

chart reflected in eyeglass lenses
Energy Stocks

Best Stock to Buy Right Now: Canadian Natural Resources vs Cenovus?

Want to invest in Canadian energy? Canadian Natural Resources and Cenovus Energy are two of the largest, but which one…

Read more »

oil pump jack under night sky
Energy Stocks

Where Will Cenovus Stock Be in 1/3/5 Years? 

Let's dive into whether Cenovus (TSX:CVE) stock is worth buying right now and where this stock could be headed over…

Read more »