Is GreenPower Motor the Next Tesla?

Tesla stock has surged by an astonishing 12,000% in the last 10 years. Can a lesser-known Canadian stock help investors derive similar returns?

| More on:
Car, EV, electric vehicle

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s premium investing services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Electric vehicle (EV) giant, Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) has created massive wealth for long-term investors. In fact, TSLA stock has surged over 12,000% in the last 10 years, easily dwarfing the S&P 500 Index, which has gained 268% since March 2012.

Tesla is the largest EV company in the world and continues to benefit from a first-mover advantage. It has manufactured and sold more EVs than any other competitor. Its total deliveries increased to more than 900,000 in 2021, and Tesla expects to sell 20 million units a year by 2030.

The estimates might be lofty, as global automobile sales range between 65 million and 75 million vehicles each year. However, the company’s visionary CEO, Elon Musk, is confident about the widening market share of Tesla.

Tesla is hugely profitable

Unlike most other EV manufacturers, Tesla is consistently profitable as it benefits from economies of scale. Its Gigafactory in Shanghai is already ramping up production, while the facility in Berlin will soon allow Tesla to gain traction in Europe.

Tesla has improved operating margins from 6.3% to 2020 to 12.1% in 2021. In the last two quarters, its operating margins stood at 15%, on the back of huge shipment numbers. The company’s shipments increased from 367,656 vehicles in 209 to 936,000 in 2021, despite the ongoing pandemic and supply chain disruptions.

Tesla has managed to maintain an average selling price of more than US$50,000 in 2021 compared to US$56,000 in 2019. It’s really admirable for a company to sell a million vehicles with an ASP of over US$50,000. Tesla’s Model 3 and Model Y share several components and are built on a single platform, which reduces costs by a huge margin.

Tesla sales have risen from US$21.46 billion in 2018 to US$53.8 billion in 2021. It ended the last year with an operating income of US$6.5 billion compared to a loss of US$252.8 million in 2018. Analysts expect Tesla to increase sales by 53.8% to US$82.8 billion in 2022 and by 25.5% to US$104 billion in 2023. Comparatively, its adjusted earnings are forecast to rise by 54.6% in 2022 and by 21.5% in 2023.

Can GreenPower Motor replicate TSLA stock gains?

While Tesla is well poised to deliver outsized gains over the next few years, it will be impossible for the stock to replicate its historical returns. However, there are several other EV players that can help you crush the broader markets in 2022 and beyond.

One such Canadian growth stock is GreenPower Motor (TSXV:GPV)(NASDAQ:GP). Its revenue grew from $3.5 million in fiscal 2018 to $13.5 million in fiscal 2020 that ended in March. However, the top line declined to $11.88 million due to COVID-19, but in the last 12 months, its revenue increased to $16.79 million.

In Q3 of fiscal 2022, GreenPower reported sales of $5.3 million — an increase of 121% year over year compared to its year-ago revenue of $2.4 million. Its gross margin increased to 27.8%, up from just 21.5% in the last quarter.

Analysts tracking GPV stock expect sales to rise by 103% to $24 million in fiscal 2022 and by another 80% to $45 million in fiscal 2023.

Bay Street also expects GPV stock to more than triple in the next year, given consensus price target estimates.

The Foolish takeaway

It’s quite rare for any company to generate similar returns derived by investing in TSLA stock. But GreenPower is part of a rapidly expanding addressable market, making it a good buy for growth investors with a high-risk appetite.

Should you invest $1,000 in Agnico-Eagle Mines Limited right now?

Before you buy stock in Agnico-Eagle Mines Limited, consider this:

The Motley Fool Stock Advisor Canada analyst team just identified what they believe are the Top Stocks for 2025 and Beyond for investors to buy now… and Agnico-Eagle Mines Limited wasn’t one of them. The Top Stocks that made the cut could potentially produce monster returns in the coming years.

Consider MercadoLibre, which we first recommended on January 8, 2014 ... if you invested $1,000 in the “eBay of Latin America” at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $20,697.16!*

Stock Advisor Canada provides investors with an easy-to-follow blueprint for success, including guidance on building a portfolio, regular updates from analysts, and two new stock picks each month – one from Canada and one from the U.S. The Stock Advisor Canada service has outperformed the return of S&P/TSX Composite Index by 29 percentage points since 2013*.

See the Top Stocks * Returns as of 3/20/25

This article represents the opinion of the writer, who may disagree with the “official” recommendation position of a Motley Fool premium service or advisor. We’re Motley! Questioning an investing thesis — even one of our own — helps us all think critically about investing and make decisions that help us become smarter, happier, and richer, so we sometimes publish articles that may not be in line with recommendations, rankings or other content.

Fool contributor Aditya Raghunath has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool recommends Tesla.

Confidently Navigate Market Volatility: Claim Your Free Report!

Feeling uneasy about the ups and downs of the stock market lately? You’re not alone. At The Motley Fool Canada, we get it — and we’re here to help. We’ve crafted an essential guide designed to help you through these uncertain times: "5-Step Checklist: How to Prepare Your Portfolio for Volatility."

Don't miss out on this opportunity for peace of mind. Just click below to learn how to receive your complimentary report today!

Get Our Free Report Today

More on Investing

coins jump into piggy bank
Dividend Stocks

Don’t Watch Your Savings Shrink: 2 Dividend Stocks to Help Pay the Bills

Canadians can protect their savings by investing in high-quality dividend stocks that pay out "sufficient high" but safe dividends.

Read more »

Canada national flag waving in wind on clear day
Stocks for Beginners

Buy Canadian: Stocks to Defend Your Wealth in a Trade War

As trade war rhetoric stays on the minds of investors, the need for some defensive stocks is bigger than ever.

Read more »

ways to boost income
Investing

Why Smart Investors Own Canadian Financial Stocks

This ETF lets you invest in Canada's biggest financial stocks for free until January 2026.

Read more »

Canadian dollars in a magnifying glass
Stocks for Beginners

If I Could Only Buy and Hold a Single Stock, This Would Be it

If I had to choose only one stock to hold for the next decade, it would be a company with…

Read more »

calculate and analyze stock
Tech Stocks

The Canadian Stock I’d Buy Every Time it Takes a Dip

The tariff wars have created a buy-the-dip opportunity for value investors. Here is a Canadian stock that is a buy…

Read more »

Hourglass and stock price chart
Dividend Stocks

Outlook for Nutrien Stock in 2025

Nutrien stock has gone through a rough patch, but that could mean there is value to be found.

Read more »

dividends can compound over time
Dividend Stocks

TFSA: 4 Canadian Stocks to Buy and Hold Forever

These four top TFSA stocks not only pay dividends but also offer strong long-term upside potential.

Read more »

Hourglass projecting a dollar sign as shadow
Dividend Stocks

2 Affordable TSX Stocks That Pay Monthly Dividends

Two affordable, high-yield TSX stocks pay consistent monthly dividends.

Read more »