Lightspeed: Why This Growth Stock Could Double

While Lightspeed is growing rapidly, its valuation is at multi-year low, representing a solid buying opportunity.

| More on:

Lightspeed (TSX:LSPD)(NYSE:LSPD) offers a cloud-based commerce platform targeting small- and medium-sized businesses. The COVID-19 pandemic accelerated the demand for Lightspeed’s digital products. Further, the pandemic stepped up the pace of shift in selling models towards online and omnichannel platforms.

Thanks to the secular tailwinds and higher demand, Lightspeed delivered stellar financials, while its stock skyrocketed from the lows and generated exceptional returns. 

However, a short report on Lightspeed from Spruce Point and concerns over slowing organic growth took a toll on its stock. Notably, Lightspeed stock slumped over 81% from its 52-week high and is down about 39% this year.

Now what?

The list of macro and geopolitical headwinds has increased, posing challenges for Lightspeed stock in the near term. Notably, higher inflation, a rising interest rate environment, and disruptions from the Russia/Ukraine conflict could hurt consumer spending and slow the growth pace, impacting Lightspeed’s performance. 

Despite concerns, investors should note that the momentum in Lightspeed’s business is being sustained, despite tough comparables. 

Lightspeed’s top line surged 165% year over year during the most recent quarter. This reflects the benefits of its two-pronged growth strategy. While acquisitions accelerated its growth, organic sales continued to trend higher. 

For context, Lightspeed reported organic growth of 74% in its subscription and transaction-based revenues. Further, Lightspeed’s transaction-based revenues surged 249% year over year. Meanwhile, subscription revenues increased by 123%. 

Thanks to the ongoing momentum in its business, Lightspeed raised its FY22 revenue forecast. Further, addressing concerns around a slowdown in organic revenue, Lightspeed expects to sustain annual growth of 35-40% in the coming years. 

I believe this growth rate is sustainable due to the continued increase in software ARPU (average revenue per user) and opportunities in the payments offerings. Further, the contribution from its supplier network initiative bodes well for growth. 

Notably, Lightspeed’s payments penetration is increasing but remains low (only a fraction of gross transaction volume processed through its payments solutions), implying further growth opportunities. Overall, a growing gross transaction volume and increased penetration augur well for future revenue growth.

Bottom line

The continued shift of small- and medium-sized businesses towards omnichannel selling platforms, product expansion, and entry into high-growth verticals and markets will likely drive Lightspeed’s growth. Furthermore, higher payments penetration and increased revenue from existing users could support organic growth. 

Lightspeed’s acquisitions, a series of new offerings, like e-commerce for restaurants and Lightspeed Capital, and a growing user base provide a solid base for growth. Also, international expansion, the ability to increase scale, and operating leverage are positives. 

While Lightspeed’s initiatives suggest that it could continue to grow rapidly, the significant decline in Lightspeed stock has resulted in compression in its valuation. It is trading at an EV-to-sales multiple of 4.1, which is at a multi-year low. 

Overall, its low valuation, multiple growth catalysts, and ongoing momentum in the business support my bullish outlook and indicate that it has the potential to double from current levels in the medium term.

This article represents the opinion of the writer, who may disagree with the “official” recommendation position of a Motley Fool premium service or advisor. We’re Motley! Questioning an investing thesis — even one of our own — helps us all think critically about investing and make decisions that help us become smarter, happier, and richer, so we sometimes publish articles that may not be in line with recommendations, rankings or other content.

Fool contributor Sneha Nahata has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool recommends Lightspeed Commerce.

More on Tech Stocks

Happy shoppers look at a cellphone.
Tech Stocks

So You Own Shopify Stock: Is it Still a Good Investment?

Shopify (TSX:SHOP) stock has had a run, but there's still room to the upside.

Read more »

A person uses and AI chat bot
Tech Stocks

AI Where No One’s Looking: Seize Growth in These Canadian Stocks Before the Market Catches Up

Beyond flashy headlines about generative AI, these two Canadian AI stocks could deliver strong returns for investors who are willing…

Read more »

Data center servers IT workers
Tech Stocks

Better Buy: Shopify Stock or Constellation Software?

Let's dive into whether Shopify (TSX:SHOP) or Constellation Software (TSX:CSU) are the better options for growth investors in this current…

Read more »

nvidia headquarters with nvidia sign in front
Tech Stocks

Nvidia Just Delivered a Beat-and-Raise Quarter. There’s 1 Red Flag Investors Shouldn’t Ignore.

The chipmaker continued to benefit from robust demand for artificial intelligence (AI). But can it last?

Read more »

GettyImages-1473086836
Tech Stocks

Why Super Micro Computer Stock Is Soaring Today

The volatile stock is getting a boost from Nvidia.

Read more »

Snowflake logo in snowflake office on wall_snowflake-1
Tech Stocks

Here’s Why Snowflake Stock Skyrocketed Today

Shares of the data company are up 32% for the day.

Read more »

man touching magnifying glass button on floating search bar internet google search engine
Tech Stocks

Why Alphabet Stock Was Sliding Today

The parent company of Google is facing heat from U.S. regulators.

Read more »

chart reflected in eyeglass lenses
Tech Stocks

Top Canadian AI Stocks to Watch in 2025

Celestica (TSX:CLS) stock and another Canadian AI stock are worth watching closely this holiday season.

Read more »