3 Defensive TSX Grocery Stocks to Buy in Case of a Recession

Grocery stocks from the consumer staple sectors could be good recession picks.

| More on:

Soaring gas and food prices, war in Ukraine, rising interest rates (including the prospect of a 75-basis point-hike in July), and layoffs in the tech sector have rattled Canadian investors.

Investors with a low-risk tolerance are searching for assets that do well under these conditions to add to their portfolios. Recently, this includes energy stocks, commodities, and precious metals.

Another possible alternative might be stocks from the consumer staples sector. These are companies that produce or sell staples that people tend to buy out of necessity regardless of economic conditions, such as food, beverages, household and personal products, packaging, or tobacco.

As such, consumer staples companies can often pass on costs to the consumer, which helps maintains their margins and profitability. Let’s take a look at my top picks today.

Loblaw

As one of Canada’s largest grocers, Loblaw Companies (TSX:L) engages in the grocery, pharmacy, health and beauty, apparel, financial services, telecommunications, and general merchandise businesses through both corporate and franchise stores and has been around since 1919.

Loblaw has some great characteristics that make it a potentially strong defensive pick. It’s current five-year monthly beta, a measure of overall sensitivity to the broader stock market, currently sits at zero. This means that Loblaw is extremely uncorrelated with the movements of the market, which is great for a low-volatility pick.

Metro

Next up is Metro (TSX:MRU). Like Loblaw, MRU also operates in Canada as a retailer, franchisor, distributor, and manufacturer of food and pharmaceutical products. The company currently operates a network of 963 supermarket and discount stores, and 649 drug stores, all under various regional brands.

Metro also has a very low beta of just -0.05, making it an excellent holding to lower the volatility of your portfolio. In this case, Metro has a slightly negative beta, which indicates that on occasion, it moves inversely to the overall market, which could be beneficial during a correction.

George Weston

A great way of owning both real estate and grocers is through George Weston (TSX:WN). The company operates through two segments: Loblaw and Choice Properties Real Estate Investment Trust. This gives investors additional exposure to commercial, residential, tenant, industrial, and office properties.

George Weston has a slightly higher beta of 0.34, which is still decently uncorrelated but is less defensive compared to Loblaw or Metro. However, 55% of the current share float is held by insiders, which is generally a bullish sign. If management is buying, there’s a good sign they think the company will do well.

The Foolish takeaway

Investing for a potential recession doesn’t mean just holding on to cash (a bad idea with high inflation). Stocks from the consumer staples sector can add excellent value to your portfolio, even during a prolonged bear market. Thanks to their low beta and strong balance sheet, consumer staple stocks could potentially help reduce portfolio volatility.

This article represents the opinion of the writer, who may disagree with the “official” recommendation position of a Motley Fool premium service or advisor. We’re Motley! Questioning an investing thesis — even one of our own — helps us all think critically about investing and make decisions that help us become smarter, happier, and richer, so we sometimes publish articles that may not be in line with recommendations, rankings or other content.

Fool contributor Tony Dong has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned.

More on Investing

hand stacks coins
Dividend Stocks

Canada’s Smart Money Is Piling Into This TSX Leader

An expanding and still growing industry giant is a smart choice for Canadian investors in 2025.

Read more »

Oil industry worker works in oilfield
Energy Stocks

Energy Sector Strength: A Canadian Producer That Can Thrive in Any Market

While gold stocks are the norm, relatively few Canadian energy stocks operate primarily outside the country. The ones that do…

Read more »

how to save money
Stocks for Beginners

Canada’s Biggest Winners in 2025? My Money’s on These 2 TSX Stocks

Here’s why I’m betting on these TSX stocks to be among Canada’s biggest winners in 2025.

Read more »

ways to boost income
Investing

Where to Invest Your 2025 TFSA Money for Total Returns

These TSX stocks offer high growth and steady dividend income, making them top bets to generate solid total returns.

Read more »

TFSA (Tax-Free Savings Account) on wooden blocks and Canadian one hundred dollar bills.
Dividend Stocks

TFSA Contribution Limit Stays at $7,000 for 2025: What to Buy?

This TFSA strategy can boost yield and reduce risk.

Read more »

calculate and analyze stock
Investing

3 No-Brainer TSX Stocks Under $50

These under-$50 TSX stocks have solid growth potential and can deliver significant returns over time, beating the benchmark index.

Read more »

Make a choice, path to success, sign
Dividend Stocks

Already a TFSA Millionaire? Watch Out for These CRA Traps

TFSA millionaires are mindful of CRA traps to avoid paying unnecessary taxes and penalties.

Read more »

A plant grows from coins.
Stocks for Beginners

1 Canadian Stock Ready to Surge In 2025

First Quantum stock is one Canadian stock investors should seriously consider going into 2025, and hold on for life!

Read more »