The TSX Is Less Than 6% Away From a Bear Market

The TSX lost 6.6% last week and is very close to officially entering a bear market.

| More on:

The stock market enters bear market territory when it falls by 20% or more from its peak. In Canada, the TSX registered an all-time high of 22,087.20 on March 29, 2022. However, it gave up 1,344.30 points (-6.63%) last week to close at 18,930.50. If it slides by another 5.7% this week, we are officially in a bear market.

While eight of the 11 primary sectors advanced on June 16, 2022, the top performer year-to-date posted the most significant percentage decline. Energy stocks went down 5.72% to lead decliners. The utilities and materials sectors lost by less than 1%.

Sea of red

A sea of red has engulfed the energy sector, which has attracted investors since the return of energy demand in 2021. In 2022, the ever-rising crude prices propelled oil stocks. Unfortunately, fears of a recession due to runaway inflation have heightened market volatility.

Despite their pullbacks in the last five days, oil majors like Enbridge (+10.04%), Canadian Natural Resources (+30.44%), and Suncor Energy (+44.12%) are still up year to date. Overall, the energy sector outperforms the TSX year to date at +41.92% versus -10.80%. Instead of staying away, investors can take a more defensive position.

Consumer staples stocks like Empire Company (TSX:EMP.A) and Rogers Sugar (TSX:RSI) have held steady amid the massive headwinds. Apart from being excellent backups to volatile energy stocks, their dividend payouts should be rock steady.

Food retailing and residential real estate

Empire is the parent company of Sobeys that provides the food shopping needs of Canadians. Apart from this food retailing segment, the $10.60 billion owns 41.5% of Crombie, a real estate investment trust (REIT) in the residential sub-sector. At $40.39 per share (+5.56% year to date), the dividend yield is 1.48%.

Management will report its Q4 and full-year fiscal 2022 results this week. In Q3 fiscal 2022 (quarter ended January 29, 2022), earnings growth, and free cash flow (FCF) were strong. Net earnings increased 15.4% to $203.4 million versus Q3 fiscal 2021, while FCF grew 75% year over year to $551 million.

Empire expects cost inflationary pressures to linger, but it is committed to focusing on supplier relationships and negotiations to ensure competitive pricing for consumers.

Strong sugar demand

Rogers Sugar seldom experiences wild price swings, and the share price usually ranges between $5.75 and $6.50. If you invest today, the share price is $6.02 per share, while the dividend yield is a hefty 5.94%. Also, the consumer staple stock outperforms the broader market (+2.64% year to date).

In the first half of 2022, revenue and net earnings increased 10.08% and 5.07% versus the same period in 2021. Mike Walton, president and CEO of Rogers and Lantic, said, “The demand for refined sugar was very strong in the second quarter of 2022, following the volatility and unforeseen events that negatively impacted our first-quarter sales volume.”

Walton expects the increase in volumes and margin improvements in sugar to compensate for the inflationary cost pressures on the maple segment.  

Need for diversification

The decline of the stock market’s last stronghold reinforces the need for diversification. Energy is doing good thus far this year, but spreading the risks and mitigating them makes perfect sense. The consumer staples sector generally performs better during high inflation.

This article represents the opinion of the writer, who may disagree with the “official” recommendation position of a Motley Fool premium service or advisor. We’re Motley! Questioning an investing thesis — even one of our own — helps us all think critically about investing and make decisions that help us become smarter, happier, and richer, so we sometimes publish articles that may not be in line with recommendations, rankings or other content.

Fool contributor Christopher Liew has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool recommends CDN NATURAL RES and Enbridge.

More on Dividend Stocks

calculate and analyze stock
Dividend Stocks

TFSA Investors: 3 Dividend Stocks to Consider Buying While They Are Down

These stocks offer attractive dividends right now.

Read more »

data analyze research
Dividend Stocks

Top Canadian Stocks to Buy Right Away With $2,000

These two Canadian stocks are the perfect pairing if you have $2,000 and you just want some easy, safe, awesome…

Read more »

money goes up and down in balance
Dividend Stocks

Take Full Advantage of Your TFSA With These 5 Dividend Stars

Choosing the right dividend stars for your TFSA can be tricky, especially if your goal is to maximize the balance…

Read more »

TFSA (Tax free savings account) acronym on wooden cubes on the background of stacks of coins
Dividend Stocks

The Best Canadian Dividend Stocks to Buy and Hold Forever in a TFSA

These three top dividend stocks are ideal for your TFSA due to their consistent dividend payouts and healthy yields.

Read more »

open vault at bank
Dividend Stocks

1 Magnificent TSX Dividend Stock, Down 10%, to Buy and Hold for a Lifetime

A recent dip makes this Big Bank stock an attractive buying opportunity.

Read more »

Canadian Dollars bills
Dividend Stocks

2 Incredibly Cheap Canadian Growth Stocks to Buy Before It’s Too Late

Buying cheap stocks needs patience and a long-term investment approach. Only then can they give you extraordinary returns.

Read more »

senior relaxes in hammock with e-book
Dividend Stocks

Top Canadian Stocks to Buy for Passive Income

Want to generate a juicy passive income that can last for decades? Here are three stocks every investor needs to…

Read more »

exchange traded funds
Dividend Stocks

1 Top High-Yield Dividend ETF to Buy to Generate Passive Income

An ETF designed as a long-term foundational holding pays generous monthly dividends.

Read more »